This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $57k lifetime. They put $2,000 on No at 85¢ in a market with only $7.3k traded today. The bet says they expect Laso Finance commitments to stay below $50M.

Part of: Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO

Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Laso Finance raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Laso Finance sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/laso-finance/fundraise. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,897.

Categories: Crypto, Laso Finance, Public Sales

Notable Trades

New cross-market whale

A 1-day-old wallet is making repeated large, cross-market bets against the sale hitting higher commitment thresholds, including a $2.2k No buy in a relatively thin market.

A brand-new wallet has already put $10.9k across 5 related markets, suggesting a focused thesis rather than a one-off bet.
This $2.2k No buy is large versus the market’s $6.5k liquidity and came in despite a wide spread.
The wallet has 8 positions already and is up $1.6k on its first resolved trade.

$2,210 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

76% winner cross-market thesis

A proven profitable wallet with a 76% win rate is adding to a broader cross-market thesis against the sale clearing this threshold.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $30K lifetime.
They have placed $24.8K across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader researched view.
Entry at 85¢ on No implies they see the sale missing this threshold as highly likely.

$1,687 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

89% winner buying NO

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and +$57k lifetime P&L bought $2,000 of No in a relatively quiet Laso Finance sale market.