Part of: Paraguay vs. Australia - More Markets
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,422.
Categories: Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports
Notable Trades
Cross-market sports whale
Surface due to a large cross-market position and major event-wide volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is weak.
- This bettor has placed $135,909 across 12 markets on the same game, pointing to a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- The market saw a 56.9x volume spike, and the No side has already moved from 79¢ to 84¢ after this entry.
- The wallet is not historically profitable, so this is more of a momentum and positioning signal than a proven-sharp bettor.
$2,405 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Cross-market sports whale
Surface due to a large cross-market position and major event-wide volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is weak.
- This bettor has placed $135,909 across 12 markets on the same game, pointing to a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- The market saw a 56.9x volume spike, and the No side has already moved from 79¢ to 84¢ after this entry.
- The wallet is not historically profitable, so this is more of a momentum and positioning signal than a proven-sharp bettor.
$2,133 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Cross-market sports whale
Surface due to a large cross-market position and major event-wide volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is weak.
- This bettor has placed $135,909 across 12 markets on the same game, pointing to a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- The market saw a 56.9x volume spike, and the No side has already moved from 79¢ to 84¢ after this entry.
- The wallet is not historically profitable, so this is more of a momentum and positioning signal than a proven-sharp bettor.
$1,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
97% winner buying No
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought No, alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 146 of 151 resolved trades and is up $52K lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying No, totaling $8.3K on the same side.
- Entry at 61¢ has already moved to 64¢, with heavy pre-game volume behind the move.
$2,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
77% winner joins No flow
A highly profitable 77% winner sold Yes, aligning with one-sided No flow and a pre-game volume spike, though it may partly be closing a prior Yes position.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $366k lifetime.
- Three wallets are all leaning No, totaling $8.3k in one-sided flow.
- Volume spiked 37x before kickoff while Yes has fallen 6 points today.
$3,860 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp cluster buying No
Five wallets, including multiple highly profitable sharp bettors with 95%+ resolved win rates, are clustered into buying No around 61¢ ahead of heavy pre-game volume.
- Several proven bettors are on the same side, including wallets that win 97% and 95% of their resolved trades.
- Five wallets put $11.5K into No, with the Yes sell converting to the same 61¢ No entry.
- Market volume is spiking 39x normal, and Yes has already fallen 5 points today.
$11,453 on No
87% winner buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% record and $2.1M lifetime profit bought Yes despite the market drifting down.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 704 events with nearly $3.9M in tracked volume.
- They bought Yes at 38¢ after the price fell 5 points in the last day, suggesting they see value against the move.
$2,036 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Elite bettors buying No
A small but notable No cluster because two participating wallets have exceptional long-term records and are buying just before kickoff despite mixed market flow.
- Two wallets in this cluster win 95% and 90% of resolved bets, with combined profit over $500k.
- Three wallets bought $4.3k of No at 60–61¢ shortly before the match window.
- One bettor is a heavy serial sports trader across 474 events, adding experience behind the same direction.
$4,316 on No
Profitable new sports bettor
A 9-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early profits bought Yes on both teams scoring despite the market drifting down.
- This 9-day-old bettor is already up $3.7K across early positions.
- They have been flagged 8 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling $14.7K.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they see a better chance than the market’s current 40¢ price.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
92% winning bettor
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 92% resolved-bet record and $175k profit, making the Yes buy worth surfacing despite the weak alert score.
- This bettor has won 92% of 394 resolved bets and is up $175k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 43¢, implying a strong view that both teams score.
- The wallet has been flagged 5 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-conviction bettor.
$2,130 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 10912033, $50,000 (71% win rate)
- 0xa66c...cd67 — Outcome 10912033, $23,724 (57% win rate)
- 0x3cf6...0cbd — Outcome 10912033, $20,000 (74% win rate)
- 0x7e78...3945 — Outcome 10912033, $15,000 (67% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 10912033, $10,714 (88% win rate)
- 0xd052...fe59 — Outcome 10912033, $9,768 (80% win rate)
- 0x443b...e8bb — Outcome 10912033, $8,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x0c84...a8ed — Outcome 10912033, $5,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x1065...6218 — Outcome 10912033, $4,954 (92% win rate)
- 0x035b...01b1 — Outcome 10912033, $4,651 (87% win rate)
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