Part of: Paraguay vs. France - More Markets
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $89,153.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp 83% winner buys Over
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and $269k profit, now buying $10k of Over at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $269k lifetime.
- They put $10k on Over at 60¢ in a liquid World Cup totals market.
- The wallet has been flagged 30 times before, suggesting repeated large conviction bets.
$10,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%
88% sharp buying Under
Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and over $1M profit is buying Under despite a very liquid market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.02M lifetime.
- They are a high-volume sports trader across 279 events with the same 88% win rate.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see the Under as mispriced against current 60% Over odds.
$2,400 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Winning sports bettor on Over
Sharp sports bettor with a 77% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Over despite only a modest signal score.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $9,445 lifetime.
- They bought Over at 60¢ in a highly traded market, suggesting they still see value after a 4-point move.
- Their average winning entry is 52¢, so this is a proven bettor taking a near-even sports position.
$1,200 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%
$152K cross-market position
High-volume bettor is taking a cross-market World Cup position amid a 134x pre-event volume spike, with this trade buying Over 2.5 at 60¢.
- This high-volume bettor is positioned across 5 related markets with $152K in total exposure.
- Market activity spiked 134x above its historical average before kickoff.
- Bought Over at 60¢ as the price moved up 3 points today.
$1,244 on Over | Wallet win rate: 47%
$152K cross-market position
High-volume bettor is taking a cross-market World Cup position amid a 134x pre-event volume spike, with this trade buying Over 2.5 at 60¢.
- This high-volume bettor is positioned across 5 related markets with $152K in total exposure.
- Market activity spiked 134x above its historical average before kickoff.
- Bought Over at 60¢ as the price moved up 3 points today.
$2,115 on Over | Wallet win rate: 47%
$152K cross-market position
High-volume bettor is taking a cross-market World Cup position amid a 134x pre-event volume spike, with this trade buying Over 2.5 at 60¢.
- This high-volume bettor is positioned across 5 related markets with $152K in total exposure.
- Market activity spiked 134x above its historical average before kickoff.
- Bought Over at 60¢ as the price moved up 3 points today.
$20,788 on Over | Wallet win rate: 47%
$152K cross-market position
High-volume bettor is taking a cross-market World Cup position amid a 134x pre-event volume spike, with this trade buying Over 2.5 at 60¢.
- This high-volume bettor is positioned across 5 related markets with $152K in total exposure.
- Market activity spiked 134x above its historical average before kickoff.
- Bought Over at 60¢ as the price moved up 3 points today.
$7,048 on Over | Wallet win rate: 47%
85% winner buying Over
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $5,000 of Over at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $14.2K lifetime.
- They put $5,000 on Over at 60¢ in a liquid soccer totals market.
- Their past wins came at similar prices, suggesting a real edge rather than just betting heavy favorites.
$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
Elite sports sharp buying Over
Elite sports bettor with an 88% long-run win rate and $3.3M profit bought Over 2.5 at 59¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,335 markets with $10.8M in volume, suggesting a proven repeatable edge.
- Entry at 59¢ implies they see value despite a liquid market with tight 1¢ spread.
$5,691 on Over | Wallet win rate: 88%
96% winner buys Under
A proven sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $164k profit bought Under 2.5 despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $164k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 36 events with a 96% hit rate.
- Bought Under at 43¢, implying they see value against a market currently leaning Over.
$1,971 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 62109995, $90,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 62109995, $86,677 (57% win rate)
- 0x580d...eb6d — Outcome 62109995, $84,672 (87% win rate)
- 0xe221...06f6 — Outcome 62109995, $57,777 (97% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 62109995, $29,618 (55% win rate)
- 0x24a5...b3bb — Outcome 62109995, $27,730 (36% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 62109995, $26,749 (90% win rate)
- 0xa81b...4d36 — Outcome 62109995, $25,006 (69% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 62109995, $20,424 (55% win rate)
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 62109995, $17,857 (71% win rate)
Related Theses
Argentina advances in high-scoring regulation
Covers 3 related markets
