Part of: Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Pep Guardiola will permanently stop being Manchester City manager before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves “Yes” if a resignation or firing is announced before the deadline, even if the departure takes effect later; temporary absences do not count. PolySpotter is tracking $1,012 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,012.

Categories: EPL, Sports, PEP, Soccer

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader bought Yes despite a wide, thin market, though the bet is modest and already below entry.

  • This bettor has traded 1,148 resolved markets and is up about $177k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 39 events and $205k in related trades.
  • They bought Yes at 89¢ in a thin market, signaling conviction despite the price now sitting around 81¢.

$1,012 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x48b7...f103 No, $7,131
  2. 0x6df1...ea12 Yes, $3,113
  3. 0xe542...0a37 Yes, $2,138 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x252c...d5b4 Yes, $1,648
  5. 0x0c3d...f757 Yes, $1,384
  6. 0x992b...5053 Yes, $1,049
  7. 0x49b6...170c Yes, $873 (61% win rate)
  8. 0xd5b9...e44e No, $800 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x2598...60d8 Yes, $759
  10. 0xefde...783d No, $739 (51% win rate)

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Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

Yes
93¢
No
7¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “Yes
101¢
71¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

22h ago

$1,012 on Yes at 89¢

89¢93¢4¢

Related Theses