Part of: Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski

Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Perugia tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Maks Kasnikowski, scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 9, 2026 if the match is completed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $1,291 in smart money across 1 signal, including sharp tennis bettor activity.

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Maks Kasnikowski in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,097.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

94% winner backing underdog

Sharp tennis bettor with a 16-1 resolved record bought Andrea Pellegrino at 35%, with the market moving up to 38% shortly after.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved bets and is up $5,225 lifetime.
  • They bought Andrea Pellegrino at 35%, below the current 38% market price.
  • The trade came during a quick 12-point move upward, suggesting momentum behind the position.

$1,291 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with a 77% record and serial cross-market history bought Andrea Pellegrino despite the market now pricing him much lower.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $19.8K lifetime.
  • They have bet across 30 events for $83.9K with the same 77% win rate.
  • They bought Andrea Pellegrino at 61¢, a strong position compared with the current 32% market price.

$1,200 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp-led tennis cluster

A proven 77% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into Pellegrino, causing a sharp price move despite modest market size.

  • A bettor who wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $19.8K is buying this same side.
  • Three wallets bought $4.3K of Pellegrino, enough to push the price sharply in a moderate-liquidity tennis market.
  • The current ask is near 34¢, below the cluster’s blended entry around 39¢.

$4,288 on Andrea Pellegrino

90% win-rate tennis sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Andrea Pellegrino after a major price drop.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $77K lifetime.
  • They have a broad sports track record across 34 events with the same 90% win rate.
  • They bought Andrea Pellegrino at 51¢ after a sharp move down, implying they see value near even odds.

$1,105 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 90%

88% winner buying tennis

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $239k profit bought Andrea Pellegrino at 74¢, supported by a long cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $239k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 64 events with the same 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 74¢ means they are backing Pellegrino despite the market currently sitting around 72–73¢.

$1,213 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Maks Kasnikowski, $13,103 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x3695...c66c Andrea Pellegrino, $7,051 (47% win rate)
  3. 0x2005...75ea Maks Kasnikowski, $5,257 (56% win rate)
  4. 0x98db...dd17 Maks Kasnikowski, $4,490 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xeaf3...e802 Andrea Pellegrino, $4,240 (86% win rate)
  6. 0x5268...135d Maks Kasnikowski, $3,951 (53% win rate)
  7. 0xa213...6907 Andrea Pellegrino, $3,689 (94% win rate)
  8. 0xd218...b5c9 Maks Kasnikowski, $2,700 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x815f...1eef Andrea Pellegrino, $2,166 (90% win rate)
  10. 0xdd5e...9040 Andrea Pellegrino, $2,130 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

Rays beat the Orioles

Covers 1 related market

Pellegrino beats Kasnikowski

Covers 1 related market

Pablo Llamas Ruiz wins

Covers 1 related market

Angels Tigers stay under

Covers 1 related market

De Minaur beats Blockx

Covers 1 related market

Mmoh beats Boulais in Little Rock

Covers 1 related market

Liverpool Brentford goalfest expected

Covers 1 related market

Both teams score in Villarreal-Atleti

Covers 1 related market

Spurs Thunder stay under

Covers 1 related market

Sabalenka beats Kasatkina

Covers 1 related market

Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski

6dPerugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski$9,097 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames
Andrea Pellegrino
73¢
Maks Kasnikowski
28¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Maks Kasnikowski in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Andrea Pellegrino
91¢
80¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski

24m ago

$1,291 on Andrea Pellegrino at 35¢

35¢73¢38¢

Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski

38m ago

$1,200 on Andrea Pellegrino at 61¢

61¢73¢12¢

Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski

49m ago

$4,288 on Andrea Pellegrino at 39¢

39¢73¢34¢

Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski

1h ago

$1,105 on Andrea Pellegrino at 51¢

51¢73¢22¢

Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski

2h ago

$1,213 on Andrea Pellegrino at 74¢

74¢73¢1¢

Related Theses