Part of: Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Perugia tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Maks Kasnikowski, scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 9, 2026 if the match is completed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $1,291 in smart money across 1 signal, including sharp tennis bettor activity.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Maks Kasnikowski in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,097.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
94% winner backing underdog
Sharp tennis bettor with a 16-1 resolved record bought Andrea Pellegrino at 35%, with the market moving up to 38% shortly after.
- This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved bets and is up $5,225 lifetime.
- They bought Andrea Pellegrino at 35%, below the current 38% market price.
- The trade came during a quick 12-point move upward, suggesting momentum behind the position.
$1,291 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 77% record and serial cross-market history bought Andrea Pellegrino despite the market now pricing him much lower.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $19.8K lifetime.
- They have bet across 30 events for $83.9K with the same 77% win rate.
- They bought Andrea Pellegrino at 61¢, a strong position compared with the current 32% market price.
$1,200 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp-led tennis cluster
A proven 77% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into Pellegrino, causing a sharp price move despite modest market size.
- A bettor who wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $19.8K is buying this same side.
- Three wallets bought $4.3K of Pellegrino, enough to push the price sharply in a moderate-liquidity tennis market.
- The current ask is near 34¢, below the cluster’s blended entry around 39¢.
$4,288 on Andrea Pellegrino
90% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Andrea Pellegrino after a major price drop.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $77K lifetime.
- They have a broad sports track record across 34 events with the same 90% win rate.
- They bought Andrea Pellegrino at 51¢ after a sharp move down, implying they see value near even odds.
$1,105 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 90%
88% winner buying tennis
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $239k profit bought Andrea Pellegrino at 74¢, supported by a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $239k lifetime.
- They have traded across 64 events with the same 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 74¢ means they are backing Pellegrino despite the market currently sitting around 72–73¢.
$1,213 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Maks Kasnikowski, $13,103 (70% win rate)
- 0x3695...c66c — Andrea Pellegrino, $7,051 (47% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Maks Kasnikowski, $5,257 (56% win rate)
- 0x98db...dd17 — Maks Kasnikowski, $4,490 (50% win rate)
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Andrea Pellegrino, $4,240 (86% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Maks Kasnikowski, $3,951 (53% win rate)
- 0xa213...6907 — Andrea Pellegrino, $3,689 (94% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Maks Kasnikowski, $2,700 (50% win rate)
- 0x815f...1eef — Andrea Pellegrino, $2,166 (90% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Andrea Pellegrino, $2,130 (88% win rate)
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