Part of: Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

This Phan Thiet 3 prediction market covers the tennis match between Hiroki Moriya and Dominik Palan, scheduled for September 6, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances; the supplied metadata does not include current live odds, but it tracks $11,200 in smart money across two signals, including activity backing both players.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,387.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial sharp backing Palan

A highly profitable serial trader with a 78% win rate and 19-point edge bought Dominik Palan at 46%, despite the market now pricing him at 36%.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 1,069 resolved trades and is up $229,130 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 42 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off wager.
  • They bought Dominik Palan at 46%, while current odds are 36%, making the position notably underwater but potentially offering a contrarian signal.

$1,200 on Dominik Palan | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp bettor adds to Moriya

A highly profitable serial trader with an 88% win rate and substantial edge is adding $10,000 to an existing Moriya position despite the market moving below their entry.

  • This bettor wins 88% of 68 resolved trades and is up $115,183 lifetime.
  • They added $10,000 to an existing Hiroki Moriya position, signaling increased conviction despite the price falling to 64%.
  • The trader has acted across 100 events and 100 markets, making this more than a one-off bet.

$10,000 on Hiroki Moriya | Wallet win rate: 86%

88% win-rate serial bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Dominik Palan position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 69 resolved positions and is up $108,669.
  • The $3,061 purchase adds to an existing Dominik Palan position, signaling continued conviction despite the price falling to 42%.
  • Trading activity surged to 148x the recent average, supporting the possibility of informed positioning.

$3,874 on Dominik Palan | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor leads Palan buying cluster

A $21,252 coordinated buy of Dominik Palan moved the price 22 percentage points, led by a proven bettor with an 88% win rate and strong historical edge.

  • A bettor with an 88% win rate across 69 resolved positions and $108,669 profit added to the Dominik Palan position.
  • Three wallets committed $21,252 in the same direction, driving Palan from roughly 35% to 57%.
  • The buying is concentrated and adds to existing positions, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine isolated trade.

$21,252 on Dominik Palan

88% win-rate serial bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Dominik Palan position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 69 resolved positions and is up $108,669.
  • The $3,061 purchase adds to an existing Dominik Palan position, signaling continued conviction despite the price falling to 42%.
  • Trading activity surged to 148x the recent average, supporting the possibility of informed positioning.

$3,061 on Dominik Palan | Wallet win rate: 88%

95% winner scaling into Moriya

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding $10,000 to an existing Moriya position amid a sharp volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 79 of 83 resolved trades and is up $272,651 lifetime.
  • The wallet added $10,000 to an existing Moriya position, bringing its total investment to nearly $25,000.
  • The trade coincided with a reported 2,723x volume spike, while Moriya's odds have risen 5% over the past day.

$10,000 on Hiroki Moriya | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1250...8f99 Outcome 30382403, $2,609 (79% win rate)
  2. 0xd3fa...a26c Outcome 30382403, $2,000 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x73d4...dbd6 Outcome 30382403, $1,959 (66% win rate)
  4. 0xdc1a...bbb8 Outcome 30382403, $1,797 (93% win rate)
  5. 0x796f...00f6 Outcome 30382403, $1,000 (64% win rate)
  6. 0xa869...6157 Outcome 30382403, $950
  7. 0x01fa...cea7 Outcome 30382403, $800 (35% win rate)
  8. 0xf970...f7f6 Outcome 30382403, $728 (67% win rate)
  9. 0x3776...e17a Outcome 30382403, $460 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 30382403, $458

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Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

2dPhan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan$49,387 tracked6 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Hiroki Moriya and Dominik Palan in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Dominik Palan. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Palan' if Dominik Palan advances against Hiroki Moriya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Hiroki Moriya
102¢
72¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

4d ago

$1,200 on Dominik Palan at 46¢

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

4d ago

$10,000 on Hiroki Moriya at 69¢

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

4d ago

$3,874 on Dominik Palan at 49¢

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

4d ago

$21,252 on Dominik Palan at 55¢

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

4d ago

$3,061 on Dominik Palan at 49¢

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

4d ago

$10,000 on Hiroki Moriya at 67¢

Related Theses