Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,802.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
94% win-rate contrarian bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge took a contrarian Under position, despite the market moving sharply toward Over.
- This bettor has won 94% of 7,312 resolved positions and is up $1.4 million.
- They bought Under at 47¢, implying substantially better odds than the market's current 26% pricing.
- The position is notable because Over has risen 12.5 percentage points and now leads at 74%, making this a sharp contrarian thesis.
$1,602 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%
Serial trader makes oversized Under bet
A serial cross-market trader placed a $15.2K Under bet that is over three times the market's 24-hour volume, though the wallet's 63% win rate offers only modest evidence of edge.
- The $15,200 Under wager is 358% of the market's 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a quiet sports market.
- This trader has participated in 3,993 events and is up $31.5 million across 32,925 resolved bets.
- The 63% win rate is supported by a large sample, but is only modestly above the wallet's 62¢ average winning entry price.
$15,200 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 20433672, $22,353 (64% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 20433672, $2,961 (55% win rate)
- 0xd619...c461 — Outcome 20433672, $1,600
- 0x0e50...2609 — Outcome 20433672, $1,550 (96% win rate)
- 0x0d2d...7ff5 — Outcome 20433672, $1,500 (59% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 20433672, $1,365 (45% win rate)
- 0x4a3f...4333 — Outcome 20433672, $1,200 (97% win rate)
- 0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 20433672, $1,033 (67% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 20433672, $803 (74% win rate)
- 0xe1e4...a1ad — Outcome 20433672, $500
Related Theses
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