Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,896.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

87% winner buying underdog

Strong copy-trade candidate: an 87% lifetime winner with a large positive P&L is buying the Marlins at 44¢ despite the market favoring Philadelphia.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $110K lifetime.
They are a serial sports bettor across 81 events with the same 87% hit rate.
Buying Miami at 44¢ implies they see value in the underdog despite Philadelphia being favored.

$1,200 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable sharps backing Miami

Three wallets, including two extremely profitable sports bettors, bought $11.2K of Miami at 44¢, making this one-sided MLB flow worth surfacing despite only moderate cluster severity.

Two elite bettors in this cluster win 98% and 94% of resolved bets and are up a combined $1.8M.
Three wallets directly bought $11.2K of Miami at 44¢, with another trade equivalent to buying Miami around 45¢.
Entry at 44¢ implies they see Miami as underpriced against a current market around 44%.

$13,063 on Miami Marlins

97% sports sharp buying Phillies

Surface: this is a proven high-win-rate sports bettor with 109 wins in 112 resolved positions and strong serial cross-market performance buying Phillies at 56¢.

This bettor has won 109 of 112 resolved trades and is up $578K lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 72 events with a 97% win rate.
Entry at 56¢ suggests they see value on the Phillies despite a fairly liquid market.

$2,633 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 98%

94% winner buying underdog

Despite a low composite score, the buyer has a very strong 15-1 resolved record and nearly $500k in profit, making this $5k Marlins underdog bet worth surfacing.

This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up about $494k lifetime.
They put $5k on Miami at 44¢, taking the underdog in a liquid MLB market.
Their average winning entry is 48¢, so this is the kind of mid-priced bet where their record has been strongest.

$5,000 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 99040216, $154,000 (62% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 99040216, $16,624 (70% win rate)
0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 99040216, $11,466 (97% win rate)
0x3625...1187 — Outcome 99040216, $6,839 (98% win rate)
0xf7c4...5919 — Outcome 99040216, $3,366
0xb8c8...d8a4 — Outcome 99040216, $2,727 (90% win rate)
0x519d...37a1 — Outcome 99040216, $1,361
0x5e4a...eee7 — Outcome 99040216, $1,163
0x6239...1d79 — Outcome 99040216, $1,136 (62% win rate)
0xdb60...137a — Outcome 99040216, $1,014 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

ResolvedPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$21,896 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 3 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIA

36-38

Final

PHI

40-33

MIA +153PHI -186O/U 8.5

Venue

Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Attendance

38,238