Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 13 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,516.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor backs Phillies

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader with a meaningful long-term edge placed a $3,926 Phillies bet, though the market has since moved eight points against the position.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 607 resolved trades and is up $1.23 million.
  • The $3,926 Phillies position came from a trader active across 832 events and 842 markets.
  • Phillies odds have since fallen from 68¢ to 60¢, so the position is currently underwater despite the bettor’s strong record.

$3,926 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 72%

Two elite bettors backing Minnesota

Two highly profitable serial bettors joined a concentrated $9,094 Twins position, although the market has since moved sharply against them and one participant has a poor record.

  • Two bettors win 93% and 97% of their trades across 207 resolved positions, far above the roughly 45–49% average prices they pay.
  • Three wallets committed $9,094 to Minnesota, including two bettors with lifetime profits of about $1.01 million and $86,000.
  • The position was opened around 42–51¢ while Minnesota now trades near 32¢, making this a high-conviction but currently underwater call.

$9,094 on Minnesota Twins

Profitable serial bettor backs Phillies

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with 422 resolved bets is taking a fresh $2.4K position on Philadelphia at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 69% of 422 resolved trades and is up $436,476 lifetime.
  • They are placing $2,418 on Philadelphia at 50¢ in a highly liquid MLB market.
  • The wallet has traded across 504 events, providing substantial evidence beyond a single lucky result.

$2,418 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 75%

Experienced cluster backing Philadelphia

Three experienced bettors deployed $13,079 toward Philadelphia, including a highly profitable 66% bettor and a 70% bettor, alongside a 14.2x volume spike.

  • Three wallets committed $13,079 to Philadelphia, including a bettor with a 66% win rate and $1.23M profit.
  • Another bettor is winning 70% of 40 resolved trades, while the third trade effectively also backs Philadelphia by selling Minnesota.
  • Trading volume ran 14.2 times its historical average, and Philadelphia had already moved 15 percentage points higher over the day.

$13,079 on Philadelphia Phillies

Top Holders

  1. 0xa084...bb99 — Minnesota Twins, $12,000 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x99aa...6c5a — Minnesota Twins, $5,000 (90% win rate)
  3. 0x5482...b6ee — Minnesota Twins, $3,632
  4. 0xfe78...0319 — Minnesota Twins, $3,296 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x0385...acaf — Minnesota Twins, $3,000 (94% win rate)
  6. 0x519d...37a1 — Minnesota Twins, $1,650
  7. 0xe8c4...395d — Minnesota Twins, $1,500 (95% win rate)
  8. 0xb88a...f6ad — Minnesota Twins, $729 (89% win rate)
  9. 0xf42a...8470 — Minnesota Twins, $576
  10. 0xc291...5d74 — Minnesota Twins, $541 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Dodgers win by two-plus runs

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Dodgers will beat the Braves

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Phillies will beat Mariners

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Pirates will defeat the Padres

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Yankees will beat the Angels

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Botic van de Zandschulp wins the match

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Muchova beats Tauson

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Caty McNally beats Marcinko

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Mariners Pirates stay under

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Côte d'Ivoire leads at halftime

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins$28,516 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Philadelphia Phillies
100¢
Minnesota Twins
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 13 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
7
65-58
Final
MIN
1
60-63
PHI -104MIN -104O/U 9Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Field of Dreams, Dyersville
Attendance
7,163

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

2026-08-14 00:26 UTC

$3,926 on Philadelphia Phillies at 68¢

68¢→100¢↑32¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

2026-08-13 23:47 UTC

$9,094 on Minnesota Twins at 51¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

2026-08-13 23:42 UTC

$2,418 on Philadelphia Phillies at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

2026-08-14 00:17 UTC

$13,079 on Philadelphia Phillies at 68¢

68¢→100¢↑32¢

Related Theses