Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 17 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $333,472.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Last-second $149k Under bet

A profitable high-volume wallet put $149k on Under in the final seconds before resolution, alongside a 193x volume spike and immediate price move from 55¢ to 60¢.

  • This bettor put $149k on Under in the final 3 minutes, including a large buy just 12 seconds before resolution.
  • The wallet is profitable overall, up $249k across $12.6M of prior Polymarket volume.
  • Market volume spiked 193x above normal and Under moved from 55¢ to 60¢ after the buys.

$148,630 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%

New whale on late Under

A 20-hour-old repeat large bettor put $19.7k on Under minutes before market close, alongside a major pregame volume spike and immediate price move in their favor.

  • A brand-new wallet has already been flagged 5 times, with $43.7k in large bets.
  • They put $19.7k on Under at 54¢ just minutes before the game market closed.
  • The market moved toward them to 57¢, and volume spiked 184x above normal.

$19,700 on Under

Profitable last-minute sports whale

A profitable high-volume sports bettor put $93k on Under minutes before resolution, alongside a major volume spike and a long cross-market betting history.

  • This bettor is up $249k lifetime and has traded $12.6M across resolved markets.
  • They put $93k on Under just 1.8 minutes before resolution, mostly around 55¢.
  • Market volume spiked 184x as the bet landed, and Under has already moved to 57¢.

$93,173 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%

Elite sports bettor on Under

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and over $2M lifetime profit bought Under 7.5 at 54¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
  • They have a long sports track record: 403 resolved positions with strong results at near-even odds.
  • This is part of a large cross-market betting history across 276 events, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$4,266 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp cluster buying Over

Nine wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, bought $67.7k of Over with linked-funder coordination and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • Two proven bettors in this cluster win 87–89% of resolved bets and are up a combined $3.3M.
  • Nine wallets bought the same side for $67.7k, with some linked by the same funder.
  • The Over buying came during a 121x pre-game volume spike, moving entries from 44¢ to the current 46¢.

$67,703 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 Over, $294,206 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x4bff...fc26 Under, $265,776 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xa710...23c4 Under, $160,000 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x5d1d...afd2 Over, $42,861 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x1d1a...0df6 Under, $39,990 (86% win rate)
  6. 0xba48...5b0a Under, $36,508
  7. 0x16bb...8492 Over, $27,830 (90% win rate)
  8. 0x5234...4c4f Over, $25,000 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x4337...8882 Over, $18,888 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x86fb...03d4 Over, $17,045 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

ResolvedPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$333,472 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Over
87¢
Under
14¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 17 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
5
23-23
Live
6
0-0, 1 out
PIT
0
24-22
PHI +108PIT -131O/U 7.5Polymarket: 87¢
Venue
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Weather
84° Sunny
Price History — “Over
74¢
59¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

20h ago

$148,630 on Under at 55¢

55¢14¢41¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

20h ago

$19,700 on Under at 54¢

54¢14¢40¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

21h ago

$93,173 on Under at 55¢

55¢14¢41¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

22h ago

$4,266 on Under at 54¢

54¢14¢40¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

23h ago

$67,703 on Over at 45¢

45¢87¢42¢

Related Theses