Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 11 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,925.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Phillies buying cluster

Four wallets bought Philadelphia at a 40% entry amid a 97x volume spike and a 15-point price rise, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite the trader's only moderate 61% win rate.

  • Four wallets bought Philadelphia for a combined $20,081, signaling coordinated conviction.
  • Trading volume was 97x the historical average, while Philadelphia’s odds jumped 15 percentage points.
  • This wallet bought at 40¢, well below the current 68¢ market price, though its 61% win rate is only moderate.

$7,650 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 65%

Four-wallet Phillies buying cluster

Four wallets bought Philadelphia at a 40% entry amid a 97x volume spike and a 15-point price rise, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite the trader's only moderate 61% win rate.

  • Four wallets bought Philadelphia for a combined $20,081, signaling coordinated conviction.
  • Trading volume was 97x the historical average, while Philadelphia’s odds jumped 15 percentage points.
  • This wallet bought at 40¢, well below the current 68¢ market price, though its 61% win rate is only moderate.

$1,196 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 65%

Serial trader scaling into Cardinals

A profitable high-volume serial trader added $8.6K to an existing Cardinals position during a 39.6x pre-event volume spike, though the trader's win rate does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • A profitable serial trader added $8,647 at 59¢ after already investing $19,452 in the Cardinals.
  • Market activity was 39.6 times its historical average, with the position now marked up to roughly 70¢.
  • The trader has a 60% win rate across 14,722 resolved bets and is up $1.88 million lifetime.

$4,179 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 61%

Serial trader scaling into Cardinals

A profitable high-volume serial trader added $8.6K to an existing Cardinals position during a 39.6x pre-event volume spike, though the trader's win rate does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • A profitable serial trader added $8,647 at 59¢ after already investing $19,452 in the Cardinals.
  • Market activity was 39.6 times its historical average, with the position now marked up to roughly 70¢.
  • The trader has a 60% win rate across 14,722 resolved bets and is up $1.88 million lifetime.

$8,647 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 61%

Linked wallets buying Phillies amid volume spike

Three linked wallets made a coordinated $7,934 Phillies purchase amid a 221x volume spike, with profitable long-term traders entering at a favorable 50% price.

  • Three linked wallets jointly bought $7,934 of Philadelphia at 50%, creating a concentrated one-sided position.
  • Trading volume was 221x its historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-game interest in the market.
  • The position has already moved from 50% to 56%; the participating wallets have collectively generated millions in lifetime profit, though their win rates are not clearly above their typical entry prices.

$7,934 on Philadelphia Phillies

Elite bettor backs St. Louis

A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $10,000 bet on St. Louis.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 164 resolved positions and is up $4.04 million lifetime.
  • The wallet paid 49¢ for St. Louis with a fresh $10,000 position, despite the current price falling to 44¢.
  • Its activity spans 206 events and 223 markets, providing unusually strong evidence that this is a meaningful directional bet.

$10,000 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 86%

96% win-rate bettor backs Cardinals

A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh $5,000 position on the Cardinals at 40%.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 156 resolved positions and is up nearly $984,000.
  • The $5,000 Cardinals bet is a fresh position at 40%, despite the Phillies being favored at 60%.
  • The wallet has traded across 140 events, suggesting its strong record is not limited to one market.

$5,000 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 91%

Two elite bettors back Cardinals

Three wallets added $10.3K to the Cardinals at 40¢, including two highly profitable bettors with 93% and 97% win rates, creating a strong coordinated sports signal.

  • Two bettors with 93% and 97% win rates added to the Cardinals position.
  • Three wallets bought $10,319 at 40¢, including substantial $6,719 and $1,800 bets.
  • The coordinated buying produced a 2,671x volume spike in a relatively active game market.

$10,319 on St. Louis Cardinals

Top Holders

  1. 0x161a...4103 — Philadelphia Phillies, $1,867 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x09af...9728 — Philadelphia Phillies, $1,432 (99% win rate)
  3. 0xc3ac...b964 — Philadelphia Phillies, $1,417 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x5811...0976 — Philadelphia Phillies, $1,365 (45% win rate)
  5. 0x1a76...3c34 — Philadelphia Phillies, $1,224
  6. 0x0a77...9d74 — Philadelphia Phillies, $1,066 (66% win rate)
  7. 0xb88a...f6ad — Philadelphia Phillies, $940 (89% win rate)
  8. 0xf824...ebe3 — Philadelphia Phillies, $762 (71% win rate)
  9. 0xa3c2...df3d — Philadelphia Phillies, $733
  10. 0x74f9...6024 — Philadelphia Phillies, $500

Related Theses

Low-scoring Valkyries keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$54,925 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Philadelphia Phillies
0¢
St. Louis Cardinals
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 11 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
0
64-57
Final
STL
2
60-60
PHI -159STL +148O/U 7.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Attendance
27,222

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-12 02:31 UTC

$7,650 on Philadelphia Phillies at 40¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-12 02:10 UTC

$1,196 on Philadelphia Phillies at 40¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-12 02:10 UTC

$4,179 on St. Louis Cardinals at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-12 02:03 UTC

$8,647 on St. Louis Cardinals at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-12 01:44 UTC

$7,934 on Philadelphia Phillies at 50¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-12 01:26 UTC

$10,000 on St. Louis Cardinals at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-12 11:00 UTC

$5,000 on St. Louis Cardinals at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-11 23:14 UTC

$10,319 on St. Louis Cardinals at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Related Theses