Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,513.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into Phillies

A highly profitable, proven bettor took a substantial contrarian Phillies position, though the market has since moved sharply against it and the wallet already held the same position.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 316 resolved positions and is up $118,746 lifetime.
  • They bought $1,221 of Philadelphia at 37¢ while the market now prices it near 10%, signaling strong contrarian conviction.
  • The wallet already had $3,300 invested at the same entry, so this appears to reinforce an existing thesis rather than a routine one-off trade.

$1,221 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 85%

Five-wallet Phillies buying cluster

Five-wallet Phillies buying cluster combined with a 269x volume spike and several highly profitable bettors signals strong coordinated conviction, despite the market already moving sharply higher.

  • Five wallets committed $25,767 to the Phillies, including bettors with 64% and 66% win rates and millions in lifetime profit.
  • The trades arrived during a 269x historical volume spike, while Phillies odds rose from roughly 55¢ to 74%.
  • Two wallets were adding to existing Phillies positions, reinforcing conviction rather than merely opening small speculative bets.

$25,767 on Philadelphia Phillies

Sharp wallets backing Washington

Three wallets bought Washington at an average 41 cents, reinforced by a highly profitable 80% bettor and a sharp cross-market trader while Phillies price fell 16.8%.

  • Three wallets committed $4,210 to Washington as the Phillies price fell 16.8%.
  • One bettor has won 80% of 20 trades with $22,978 profit, while another is up $43,935 across 1,351 resolved bets.
  • The group’s average entry was about 41¢, implying meaningful value against the current 38% Washington price.

$6,172 on Washington Nationals

Proven serial bettor backs Phillies

A highly profitable serial trader with 8,756 resolved bets and a meaningful edge is backing Philadelphia despite the market moving below their 71¢ entry.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 8,756 resolved bets and is up nearly $10 million.
  • They have traded 1,391 markets across 1,029 events, indicating extensive and consistent market experience.
  • The Phillies position was bought at 71¢, while current odds are about 66%, creating a potentially favorable copy entry if the price is available.

$1,042 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettor scaling into Phillies

A highly experienced bettor with an 86% win rate and extensive cross-market activity is adding to a Phillies position at 67%.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 390 resolved trades and earned $87,756 in profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 96 events and is adding $2,000 to an existing Phillies position.
  • The 67¢ entry implies the Phillies are being valued above the market’s current 66% estimate, with a tight 1¢ spread.

$2,000 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 87%

Elite sharp backs Philadelphia

A highly proven sports bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $5,000 bet on Philadelphia at 67%.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 2,786 resolved positions and is up $3.82 million.
  • Their results substantially exceed the 58% average odds paid, indicating a meaningful long-term edge.
  • They placed a fresh $4,998 bet on Philadelphia at 67% in a liquid MLB market.

$4,998 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 89%

95% win-rate bettor backs Phillies

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge placed a large Phillies position at 66%, far exceeding recent market volume.

  • This bettor has won 619 of 655 resolved positions and earned over $5.0 million in P&L.
  • The $13,312 Phillies purchase at 66¢ is nearly four times the flagged 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
  • The trader has positioned across 898 markets and 739 events, suggesting a repeatable, well-established edge rather than a one-off bet.

$13,312 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 10207391, $20,170 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 10207391, $13,514
  3. 0xc7b5...c3e3 Outcome 10207391, $8,330 (52% win rate)
  4. 0xe2d0...7bbf Outcome 10207391, $8,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 10207391, $7,460 (89% win rate)
  6. 0xf94f...9ada Outcome 10207391, $4,643 (74% win rate)
  7. 0xf8fd...876f Outcome 10207391, $3,570 (91% win rate)
  8. 0xe077...f5ee Outcome 10207391, $3,300 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x6055...5fde Outcome 10207391, $2,985 (87% win rate)
  10. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 10207391, $2,550 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

ResolvedPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$54,513 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 15 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
3
83-68
Final
WSH
6
71-81
PHI -222WSH +181O/U 8
Venue
Nationals Park, Washington
Attendance
23,952
Price History — “Washington Nationals
96¢
65¢
33¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

7d ago

$1,221 on Philadelphia Phillies at 37¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

7d ago

$25,767 on Philadelphia Phillies at 55¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

7d ago

$6,172 on Washington Nationals at 41¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

7d ago

$1,042 on Philadelphia Phillies at 71¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

7d ago

$2,000 on Philadelphia Phillies at 67¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

7d ago

$4,998 on Philadelphia Phillies at 67¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

7d ago

$13,312 on Philadelphia Phillies at 66¢

Related Theses

Wallet_0x27f73 trades 5 related markets
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 23…Timberwolves vs. MagicSpread: Magic (-7.5)
Wallet_0x27f73 trades 5 related markets
Warriors vs. SunsSpread: Suns (-3.5)Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5
Wallet_0x27f73 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves vs. SpursSpread: Spurs (-9.5)
Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…