Part of: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,619.

Notable Trades

Two elite bettors backed Phoenix

Six wallets concentrated roughly $16.8K on Phoenix, including two highly profitable bettors with exceptional long-term win rates, before a 27-point price surge.

Two Phoenix buyers have extraordinary records: 96% wins with $658K profit and 91% wins with $2.58M profit.
Six wallets committed about $16.8K to Phoenix, while Sparks sells were economically equivalent to additional Phoenix exposure.
The position was entered around 45¢–54¢ before Phoenix moved to 100%, indicating strong directional conviction, though the opportunity has already passed.

$16,815 on Phoenix Mercury

91% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,250 purchase on Phoenix at 45¢.

This bettor has won 91% of 3,984 resolved positions and earned $2.55M in profit.
They bought $2,250 of Phoenix Mercury at 45¢, with the price already rising to 48¢.
The wallet has traded across 241 events and 254 markets, indicating broad and sustained expertise rather than a one-off result.

$2,250 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% win-rate serial bettor

A highly experienced serial trader with a 91% win rate and $206,265 profit is taking a fresh position on Phoenix at 47 cents.

This bettor has won 276 of 304 resolved positions—91% overall—with $206,265 in profit.
The fresh $1,170 Phoenix position was bought at 47¢, slightly below the current 48% market estimate.
The wallet has traded 437 markets across 364 events, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$1,170 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial bettor adds to Phoenix

A consistently profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding to a Phoenix Mercury position at 46%, despite the alert having only modest supporting signals.

This bettor wins 66% of 191 resolved trades and is up $89,425 lifetime.
They are adding $1,385 to an existing Phoenix Mercury position at 46%, showing continued conviction.
The 46% entry is below the market’s 54% implied chance for Los Angeles, creating a meaningful value angle if Phoenix wins.

$1,385 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0x684b...8409 — Outcome 77633649, $25,000 (93% win rate)
0xaed0...6f18 — Outcome 77633649, $5,000 (56% win rate)
0xda5f...2e9b — Outcome 77633649, $4,136 (58% win rate)
0x0a47...0c54 — Outcome 77633649, $3,662 (84% win rate)
0x6f1b...f28a — Outcome 77633649, $3,000 (100% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 77633649, $2,981
0xf3a6...71bd — Outcome 77633649, $2,046 (75% win rate)
0x7eb6...8b20 — Outcome 77633649, $1,754 (88% win rate)
0x6027...4320 — Outcome 77633649, $1,564 (93% win rate)
0xc308...7b09 — Outcome 77633649, $1,437 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

ResolvedPhoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks$21,619 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesWNBA

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 22 at 3:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Price History — “Los Angeles Sparks”

64¢

56¢

47¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction