Part of: Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova

Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova

This Polymarket covers the Piracicaba tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Hernan Casanova, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by July 2, 2026 if a winner is determined. PolySpotter is tracking $72,359 in smart money across 2 signals, including a profitable whale cluster and a sharp tennis bettor buying the favorite.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,403.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable tennis whales pile in

Three wallets, including two massively profitable high-volume bettors, bought $66k of Valerio Aboian at 34¢ amid a major volume spike and immediate price move to 44¢.

  • Two of the wallets have huge long-term records: one is up $16.4M with a 64% win rate, and another is up $4.2M across 48,586 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $66k within seconds, pushing Valerio Aboian from 34¢ to 44¢.
  • Volume exploded more than 2,000x above baseline before the match, suggesting a sharp pre-event move.

$66,341 on Valerio Aboian

Sharp tennis bettor buying favorite

Sharp, highly profitable tennis bettor bought Hernan Casanova at 66¢ before a strong move to 86¢, with supporting cross-market and volume signals.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $912K lifetime.
  • They bought Hernan Casanova at 66¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
  • This wallet has traded 26 related events with the same 86% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$2,061 on Hernan Casanova | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6d20...a165 Outcome 10113342, $256,097 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x6982...a165 Outcome 10113342, $1,544 (99% win rate)
  3. 0x2ad5...62ff Outcome 10113342, $511
  4. 0xa1ee...0267 Outcome 10113342, $349
  5. 0x2955...794a Outcome 10113342, $324
  6. 0x6712...a95b Outcome 10113342, $316
  7. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 10113342, $272
  8. 0x1455...e30f Outcome 10113342, $247
  9. 0x1338...f574 Outcome 10113342, $205
  10. 0x9d3e...986c Outcome 10113342, $149

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Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova

6hPiracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova$68,403 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Hernan Casanova in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Hernan Casanova. This market will resolve to 'Hernan Casanova' if Hernan Casanova advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Hernan Casanova
75¢
65¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova

5d ago

$66,341 on Valerio Aboian at 34¢

Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova

5d ago

$2,061 on Hernan Casanova at 66¢

Related Theses