Part of: Pistons vs. Magic
Pistons vs. Magic
45 smart money signals detected, totaling $423,904.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
19-wallet Magic cluster
A 4-day-old repeat bettor joined a 19-wallet one-sided cluster buying Magic at 36¢ before a full move to 100%, a strong coordinated-flow signal despite the modest ticket size.
- 19 wallets piled into Magic on the same side for $84.9k total, with shared funding links across part of the group.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already been flagged 109 times for large bets, showing unusually aggressive repeat sizing for a new account.
- The buy came at 36¢ and the market is now at 100¢, showing the cluster caught a massive move.
$1,013 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 64%
19-wallet Magic cluster
A 19-wallet linked cluster piled into Magic for nearly $85k, and this wallet is a large-volume serial sports trader with a long profitable history.
- 19 wallets bet Magic in the same window for $84.9k, with some wallets sharing funders.
- This wallet has 1,893 resolved bets and is up $367k lifetime, showing a real track record.
- They bought Magic at 65¢ and the market later went to 100¢, so the move was strongly confirmed.
$1,281 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 54%
96% winner flips to Magic
A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 96% win rate sold Pistons at 46¢, which is equivalent to buying Magic at 54¢, and the broader market then moved heavily toward Magic with 13 wallets aligned the same way.
- This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $628.8k across 27 resolved bets.
- Their Pistons sale at 46¢ is equivalent to buying Magic at 54¢, far below Magic's current 80¢ price.
- 13 wallets put $37.9k on the same side, and the market has since moved sharply toward Magic.
$9,200 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 94%
13-wallet Magic cluster
A proven high-volume bettor with a 74% win rate sold Pistons into a 13-wallet one-sided move toward Magic, suggesting coordinated conviction worth following.
- A bettor with a 74% win rate across 281 resolved markets joined a 13-wallet push into Magic.
- The coordinated group put $37.9k on the same side, which is stronger than a lone trade.
- This trade effectively bought Magic around 72¢, and Magic is now trading near 80¢ after a sharp move.
$1,806 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 52%
13-wallet Magic cluster
Coordinated buying from 13 wallets hit Magic while a high-volume serial cross-market bettor sold Pistons at 46¢ before the market moved sharply to 20¢.
- 13 wallets put nearly $38k on Magic in the same window, a strong one-sided signal.
- This wallet has bet across 131 events with a 66% win rate and $7.3k profit.
- The trade sold Pistons at 46¢, which maps to buying Magic at 54¢; Magic now trades around 80¢.
$1,277 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 74%
96% win-rate sports bettor
A highly successful serial sports trader with a 96% win rate sold the longshot side in a liquid NBA market, which translates to buying Magic around 90¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up $217k across 278 bets.
- They trade heavily across related markets, with 313 markets across 260 events and $4.2M deployed.
- This trade fades the 10¢ longshot side, which translates to buying Magic around 90¢.
$1,015 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 95%
New whale caught a big move
A very new wallet with repeat large bets and early profits bought Magic at 73¢ before the price ran to 94%, suggesting strong conviction and possible edge despite limited history.
- This wallet is only 6 days old but has already made 4 flagged large bets totaling $366k
- They are 3 for 3 on resolved bets and up $7.6k so far
- Bought Magic at 73¢ and the market has since moved to 94¢, a 21-point jump
$24,465 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 77%
80% winner ahead of move
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate bought Magic at 73¢ before the price ran to 94¢, making this a strong sharp-money signal despite the market's high liquidity.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,317 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime
- They trade across 200 markets with nearly $3.9M deployed, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Magic at 73¢ and the market is now 94¢, showing strong immediate confirmation
$3,100 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable NBA cross-market bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history bought Magic at 77¢ before the market moved to 94¢, showing strong directional edge.
- This bettor has made nearly 1,900 resolved picks, wins 55% of them, and is up $367k lifetime
- They bought Magic at 77¢ and the market is now 94¢, so the position is already deep in the money
- They regularly trade across related markets at scale, with $1.77M tracked across 220 events
$1,275 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 54%
91% win-rate sports sharp
A proven high-volume bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.0M profit bought Magic before a major volume surge, and the price has already moved sharply in their favor.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.0M across nearly 900 bets
- They bought Magic at 80¢ and the market is now 94¢, so the move is already working
- The bet landed during a 10.1x pregame volume spike, suggesting strong one-way interest
$5,004 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x0b71...4e79 — Outcome 12260649, $260,855 (44% win rate)
- 0xa945...110f — Outcome 12260649, $203,058
- 0x2643...39ae — Outcome 12260649, $121,540 (54% win rate)
- 0xad2b...f091 — Outcome 12260649, $94,114 (94% win rate)
- 0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 12260649, $59,799 (100% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 12260649, $17,140 (94% win rate)
- 0x0159...db47 — Outcome 12260649, $16,978
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 12260649, $14,699
- 0xa01f...8f40 — Outcome 12260649, $13,659
- 0xed31...d9c8 — Outcome 12260649, $10,780 (80% win rate)
Related Theses
MicroStrategy won't sell Bitcoin
Covers 2 related markets
