Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
This Polymarket tracks the outcome of the April 11 MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs. Traders are pricing which team will win, with recent smart money activity highlighting signals on both sides, including a sharp cluster backing the Cubs and a Pirates surge from multiple wallets. The market stays open if the game is postponed and resolves when the game is completed, or 50-50 if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for April 11 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,761.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
3-wallet Pirates surge
Three wallets piled into Pittsburgh in a short burst, driving a 21-point move on heavy volume, and one of the buyers is a highly profitable high-volume trader who got in as low as 55¢.
- Three wallets all bet Pittsburgh together for $12.4k and helped push the price from 55¢ to 82¢
- One buyer is up $1.2M lifetime and entered at 55¢ before the move fully played out
- Market volume spiked 46.6x above normal, which suggests fast money converged on the same side
$12,363 on Pittsburgh Pirates
Profitable new wallet whale
A 6-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early $40.6k profits just put another $6.9k into the Cubs, suggesting a new high-conviction bettor worth tracking.
- This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts and is up $40.6k.
- They bought $6.9k of the Cubs at 53¢, and the market has already moved to 56¢.
- An 80% win rate is from only 5 resolved bets, but the early profit and repeat sizing stand out.
$6,902 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 80%
87% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume sports bettor with an 87% win rate and thousands of resolved bets bought the Cubs, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite only a moderate composite score.
- This bettor wins 87% of 2,878 resolved trades and is up $83.6k lifetime
- They put $3.9k on the Cubs, a meaningful size from a wallet with a long proven track record
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random thin-market punt
$3,862 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp cluster backing Cubs
Three wallets put $20.6k on the Cubs during a huge volume spike, including a serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate and a 5-day-old wallet already up $40.6k.
- A proven bettor who wins 87% of 2,878 resolved trades joined this Cubs buy cluster.
- Three wallets bought $20.6k of Cubs in a 300.8x volume spike, showing coordinated conviction.
- One 5-day-old wallet has already been flagged 13 times and is up $40.6k, suggesting aggressive early edge.
$20,635 on Chicago Cubs
Top Holders
- 0x94c5...56a7 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $16,967 (67% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $14,735 (63% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Chicago Cubs, $12,982 (80% win rate)
- 0xfce1...9ce7 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $10,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x558f...1a56 — Chicago Cubs, $6,437 (87% win rate)
- 0x6b1e...65c1 — Chicago Cubs, $5,550
- 0x37c1...c53a — Chicago Cubs, $4,955 (67% win rate)
- 0xe790...eadc — Chicago Cubs, $4,517
- 0x2005...75ea — Pittsburgh Pirates, $4,480 (52% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Chicago Cubs, $4,375 (52% win rate)
