Part of: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $114,150.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Serial bettor scaling into Under
A serial cross-market bettor with a profitable 169-bet record is adding $52.9K to an existing Under position amid a 55.9x volume spike.
- This bettor is up $182,296 across 169 resolved bets with a 66% win rate.
- They added $52,905 to an existing Under position at 51¢, bringing total investment to roughly $157,000.
- The market saw a 55.9x surge over its usual 24-hour trading volume, supporting the significance of the move.
$52,905 on Under | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial trader buys Under
A highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader made a $5,074 Under bet alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 75% of 483 resolved trades and is up $547,794 lifetime.
- They placed a $5,074 Under bet while market activity surged to 117 times its normal level.
- The Under was bought at 51¢, near the current 52% market consensus, with a liquid 1¢ spread.
$5,075 on Under | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable bettor scales Under
A profitable serial trader with 169 resolved bets and $182,296 in gains added $35,876 to an existing Under position during a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 66% of 169 resolved trades and is up $182,296 lifetime.
- They added $35,876 to Under at 51¢, increasing an already substantial $70,344 position.
- The trade coincided with a 117x volume spike, although the position was already established rather than entirely new.
$35,876 on Under | Wallet win rate: 72%
Three profitable bettors buying Under
Three experienced and profitable bettors committed $41,004 to Under at 51¢, creating a strong one-sided flow signal in a thin market.
- Three wallets placed $41,004 on Under at 51¢, with one already scaling a $70,344 Under position.
- The group includes bettors with 75% and 66% win rates and substantial lifetime profits.
- The trades drove a sharp volume spike and represented several times the market's recent trading activity.
$5,838 on Under
Whale-sized Under bet in quiet market
A $14.5K Under bet is unusually large for this quiet MLB market, though the trader's broad historical record does not show a strong odds-adjusted edge.
- A $14,456 Under position is over six times the market's 24-hour volume.
- The bet targets a plausible sports market at nearly even odds, suggesting meaningful conviction on a low-activity book.
- This wallet has won 63% of 33,398 resolved bets and earned $32.1M, but its edge over entry prices appears modest.
$14,456 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 10193004, $3,285
- 0xb8ef...2864 — Outcome 10193004, $2,104 (77% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 10193004, $1,850 (67% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 10193004, $927 (65% win rate)
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 10193004, $926 (95% win rate)
- 0xd619...c461 — Outcome 10193004, $738
- 0x7f29...f03d — Outcome 10193004, $658 (64% win rate)
- 0x0e50...2609 — Outcome 10193004, $597 (96% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 10193004, $445 (83% win rate)
- 0x0d2d...7ff5 — Outcome 10193004, $407 (59% win rate)
Related Theses
Mbappé and Bellingham stay scoreless
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Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
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