Part of: Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger

Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,465.

Notable Trades

93% serial sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate bought Aboian at 83%, though the market has since surged to 96%.

This bettor has won 129 of 138 resolved trades and earned $288,785 in profit.
They entered Aboian at 83%, ahead of a rapid move to the current 96% price.
The position was re-entered after a prior Aboian trade, showing repeated conviction rather than a one-off wager.

$1,175 on Valerio Aboian | Wallet win rate: 94%

99% serial bettor adds to Aboian

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor with a 99% win rate added to an existing Valerio Aboian position despite the market repricing lower.

This bettor has won 99% of 518 resolved trades and is up $77,166 lifetime.
The wallet added $2,200 to an existing Aboian position, showing continued conviction despite the market now pricing him at only 55%.
The trader has placed bets across 75 events, making this more compelling than a one-off large wager.

$2,200 on Valerio Aboian | Wallet win rate: 99%

Three-wallet Aboian conviction

Three wallets deployed $33,000 toward Aboian during a 271x volume spike, creating a notable but mixed-quality directional signal despite two buyers currently being underwater.

Three wallets committed roughly $33,000 to the Aboian side during a 271x spike in normal trading activity.
One bettor has an 83% win rate and $70,514 profit, though that record covers only six resolved bets.
The market moved 11 percentage points over the day, but two wallets are adding to Aboian positions currently marked below their 48–52¢ entries.

$33,090 on Valerio Aboian

Top Holders

0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 17863908, $1,532 (95% win rate)
0x0f17...2c20 — Outcome 17863908, $463
0x6155...bb9e — Outcome 17863908, $444
0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 17863908, $400 (84% win rate)
0x125a...4f02 — Outcome 17863908, $373 (96% win rate)
0x125a...df71 — Outcome 17863908, $269
0xf1aa...9359 — Outcome 17863908, $224 (82% win rate)
0xa4b2...1c67 — Outcome 17863908, $200
0x0925...109e — Outcome 17863908, $174
0xec7a...a1f2 — Outcome 17863908, $167 (63% win rate)

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Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger

ResolvedPlovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger$36,465 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Sebastian Sorger. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Sorger' if Sebastian Sorger advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Valerio Aboian”

102¢

62¢

23¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction