Part of: Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
33 smart money signals detected, totaling $198,274.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor bought the dip
A highly profitable serial sports trader re-entered Elena Rybakina at 60¢ after a sharp intraday drop, and the market has since moved to 100%.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime across 2,500+ settled bets
- They re-entered after previously closing this market, buying Elena Rybakina at 60¢ right after a 20-point drop
- The price has since gone from 60¢ to 100%, confirming strong timing on a liquid match market
$1,006 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 71%
99% win-rate timer
A serial sports trader with a 99% win rate bought Elena Rybakina at 80¢ just before the market snapped to 100%, suggesting strong timing edge despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades across 5,752 bets and has traded 1,241 markets
- They bought Elena Rybakina at 80¢ and the price moved to 100% right after
- This wallet repeatedly trades across hundreds of events, so the timing looks deliberate rather than random
$6,044 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 99%
15-wallet funded cluster
A 15-wallet linked cluster with a large, experienced cross-market trader bought into a fast-moving tennis market, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the modest ticket size.
- 15 linked wallets share the same funder, a strong sign one actor is spreading this thesis across accounts.
- This wallet has bet $1.86M across 309 markets and is up $143k lifetime, so the flow comes from an experienced trader.
- They bought Elena at 76¢ during a sharp move, implying they were willing to step in aggressively before the market fell to 70¢.
$1,404 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 54%
85% win-rate sports bettor
A proven high-win-rate sports trader with over 100 resolved bets bought nearly $10k before a sharp 20-point move, making this a strong bettor to monitor despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up $123.6k across 101 resolved markets
- They have traded 158 markets across 126 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- They bought nearly $10k of Rybakina at 77¢ before a fast 20-point move in 5 minutes, showing real conviction
$9,791 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 89%
78% win-rate dip buyer
A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a 78% win rate bought Rybakina after a sharp 20-point drop and is already in profit, making this a credible dip-buy from a proven wallet.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades across 406 bets and is up $41k lifetime
- They bought Rybakina at 65¢ right after a fast 20-point drop, and the market has already rebounded to 70¢
- This wallet has traded 43 markets across 42 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off punt
$2,141 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 79%
78% win-rate sports bettor
A proven 78% win-rate sports trader sold Rybakina, which in a binary market translates to buying Fernandez around 73¢ after a sharp price move and unusual event-wide activity.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades across 406 markets and has made about $41k.
- The trade was part of a wider surge in action, with volume running 17.2x normal and price moving fast.
- Selling Rybakina at 27¢ is equivalent to buying Leylah Fernandez around 73¢ in this binary market.
$1,949 on Leylah Fernandez | Wallet win rate: 79%
Linked sports bettor cluster
A high-volume serial sports trader from a linked-wallet cluster bought Leylah after a sharp move, suggesting coordinated conviction despite this specific fill being worse than the current price.
- This wallet has a long track record: 3,384 resolved bets and $143k profit overall.
- Two linked wallets have put about $8.2k behind the same thesis, which points to coordinated conviction.
- Market activity suddenly jumped 12.6x and Leylah moved 20 points in 5 minutes before this buy.
$1,157 on Leylah Fernandez | Wallet win rate: 54%
85% win-rate sports bettor
A proven high-win-rate sports trader with broad cross-market activity bought into a fast move on Leylah Fernandez, making this worth watching despite the small size relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 115 markets and has traded $541k across 87 events
- bullets
- They bought Leylah at 75¢ during a rapid 20-point move, showing willingness to chase a strong directional move
- Market volume spiked 12.6x versus normal activity, suggesting broader money is piling into the same side
$2,979 on Leylah Fernandez | Wallet win rate: 83%
New whale joins 4-wallet push
A very new wallet with repeated large betting activity joined a 4-wallet coordinated buy on Leylah Fernandez, and the market has already moved up after entry.
- A 2-day-old wallet has already made 29 flagged large bets totaling $307.8k
- Four wallets all bought Leylah Fernandez together, and the price jumped from 32¢ to 36¢
- This entry came at 32¢, implying they see Fernandez as meaningfully better than the market did
$2,843 on Leylah Fernandez | Wallet win rate: 89%
4-wallet Fernandez pile-in
Four wallets piled into Leylah Fernandez while the price moved sharply, and this wallet is a very active cross-market bettor with a solid 67% hit rate across 293 resolved trades.
- Four wallets all bet Leylah Fernandez, putting nearly $7.9k on the same side.
- The market moved hard with Rybakina down 27.6 points, confirming strong one-way flow.
- This wallet has made 293 resolved bets and wins 67% of them across 68 events.
$1,226 on Leylah Fernandez | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0x5d58...9a15 — Outcome 18644431, $305,110 (90% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 18644431, $102,483 (80% win rate)
- 0x18bb...e5cd — Outcome 18644431, $19,982 (64% win rate)
- 0xd6ce...7ec8 — Outcome 18644431, $16,211 (81% win rate)
- 0x0ffe...9150 — Outcome 18644431, $16,201
- 0x8a67...e403 — Outcome 18644431, $8,923 (89% win rate)
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 18644431, $8,737 (81% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 18644431, $6,027 (63% win rate)
- 0x3cf5...4145 — Outcome 18644431, $2,910
- 0x808a...32c5 — Outcome 18644431, $2,715 (47% win rate)
