Part of: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury

Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,590.

Categories: Sports, Games, WNBA

Notable Trades

92% win-rate contrarian bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate sold Under at 85%, implying a contrarian Over position despite the market pricing Under at 88%.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 108 resolved trades and is up $19,155.
  • Selling Under at 85¢ is equivalent to buying Over around 15¢, signaling disagreement with the heavily favored Under.
  • The $1,671 trade came as Under surged 34 percentage points beyond its historical range.

$1,671 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable bettor scales into Over

A profitable serial trader with a 60% win rate at an average 49¢ entry is adding $31,351 to an existing Over position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 60% of 526 resolved trades, is up $1.15 million, and typically enters around 49¢.
  • They added $31,351 to an existing Over position, showing increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The trade drove a 2,068x spike versus historical volume in a relatively quiet market.

$31,351 on Over | Wallet win rate: 60%

Serial sharp scaling into Under

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate is adding $2,289 to an existing Under position in a thinly traded WNBA total.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 208 resolved trades and is up $272,792.
  • They added $2,289 to an existing Under position, bringing their investment to roughly $6,960.
  • The trade represents 61% of the market’s recent volume, signaling strong conviction in a relatively quiet sports market.

$2,289 on Under | Wallet win rate: 72%

94% win-rate bettor adds to Over

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Over position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 30 of 32 resolved trades and is up $14,633 on $75,230 invested.
  • They are adding another $1,280 to an existing Over position in a relatively quiet market.
  • The Over is available around 50¢, implying roughly even odds despite this bettor’s unusually strong historical results.

$1,280 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1d2e...896d Outcome 20136750, $73,721 (60% win rate)
  2. 0xb4c8...8f5a Outcome 20136750, $39,299 (79% win rate)
  3. 0xb5b6...ca29 Outcome 20136750, $3,550 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xafe4...f3f7 Outcome 20136750, $2,670 (96% win rate)
  5. 0xd747...076c Outcome 20136750, $2,560 (95% win rate)
  6. 0xb39b...9826 Outcome 20136750, $2,286
  7. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 20136750, $1,299 (54% win rate)
  8. 0xea48...c596 Outcome 20136750, $396 (95% win rate)
  9. 0xe0a1...a119 Outcome 20136750, $393
  10. 0x97c8...4367 Outcome 20136750, $300

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Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5

ResolvedPortland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury$36,590 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesWNBA

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 16 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Portland Fire and Phoenix Mercury combine to score 179 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 179, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Under
52¢
50¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5

7d ago

$1,671 on Over at 15¢

Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5

7d ago

$31,351 on Over at 49¢

Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5

7d ago

$2,289 on Under at 49¢

Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5

7d ago

$1,280 on Over at 50¢

Related Theses