Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Portugal and Croatia combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $134,433.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
16-wallet Under cluster
Strong coordinated Under flow: 16 wallets bought the same side for over $103K with linked funding, alongside major volume spikes and a large price move.
- 16 wallets all bought Under, totaling $103K, with linked funding across part of the group.
- This wallet added $7.2K at 63–77¢ as Under moved sharply higher.
- The market saw an 18–23x volume spike, and Under has since reached 100¢.
$7,234 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%
36-wallet Croatia push
Strong coordinated one-sided flow is the main signal, with 36 wallets buying Croatia for $186.6k despite this individual wallet having a poor long-term record.
- 36 wallets are all buying Croatia, totaling $186.6k in one-sided flow.
- There is a major volume spike, with activity running over 50x the historical average.
- The individual wallet has a weak record, so the signal is the coordinated market move rather than this bettor alone.
$6,374 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 47%
98% sharp buying Over
A 98% winning serial cross-market trader made the largest effective Over buy, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- The largest trade comes from a bettor who wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $46K lifetime.
- Three wallets put $13.4K on the Over, including a $10.3K Under sell that equals buying Over at 14¢.
- This market saw a 14.8x pre-event volume spike, with the sharpest entry implying Over is mispriced below 20¢.
$19,097 on Over
85% winner buying Under
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% resolved win record and serial cross-market history bought Under 3.5 at 88%, now trading higher.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $6.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 25 events with $139K already deployed.
- Bought Under at 88%, and the market has already moved to 92%.
$1,645 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%
97% winner buying Over
Highly profitable sharp sports wallet bought $12.1k of Over at 31¢, backed by a 97% historical win rate and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $2.48M lifetime.
- They put $12.1k on Over at 31¢, implying a roughly 3.2x payout if 4+ goals hit.
- Market volume spiked 81x above normal, and this wallet has traded 83 events with the same strong track record.
$12,125 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner buying Under
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Under 3.5 on a high-volume Portugal-Croatia market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 35 of 36 resolved bets and is up $62K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 62 events with a 97% win rate.
- Bought Under at 69¢ during a 78x pre-game volume spike.
$11,031 on Under | Wallet win rate: 97%
92% winner buying Under
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is buying Under, backed by a major pre-game volume spike and a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor has won 92% of 260 resolved bets and is up $117K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 133 events with $669K in tracked volume.
- Market volume is surging before kickoff, with activity running 155x above its usual pace.
$1,400 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%
Two 97% sharps on Under
Strong Under flow worth surfacing because two profitable 97% sports bettors joined a $42k three-wallet cluster amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 97% of their resolved trades and are up about $97k combined.
- Three wallets bought $42k of Under at about 69¢, pushing into a market now priced around 71¢.
- One sharp has traded across 63 events with a 97% hit rate, suggesting this is part of a proven sports-betting pattern.
$42,136 on Under
97% winner buying Under
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Under 3.5 on a high-volume Portugal-Croatia market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 35 of 36 resolved bets and is up $62K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 62 events with a 97% win rate.
- Bought Under at 69¢ during a 78x pre-game volume spike.
$5,832 on Under | Wallet win rate: 97%
Coordinated Over buyers
Coordinated pre-game buying on Over with a 78x volume spike and one strong early-track-record wallet makes this worth surfacing.
- Three wallets bought $20.8K of Over within 8 minutes, all around 32¢.
- Volume is running 78x above normal ahead of kickoff, and Over is up 4.6% today.
- The largest buyer has won 7 of 8 resolved bets and is up $83K, though the sample is still small.
$20,757 on Over
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Over, $128,990 (67% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Over, $90,370 (58% win rate)
- 0x4f12...8140 — Over, $48,662 (90% win rate)
- 0xc41d...74fd — Over, $38,800 (97% win rate)
- 0x24c7...77c4 — Over, $20,000 (82% win rate)
- 0xa209...ffbe — Over, $13,828 (88% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Over, $12,782 (65% win rate)
- 0xb184...b6c6 — Over, $12,108 (77% win rate)
- 0x332a...c9a2 — Over, $8,000 (56% win rate)
- 0xdf80...3259 — Over, $6,666 (76% win rate)
Related Theses
Cobolli wins or Zverev sweeps
Covers 3 related markets
Switzerland wins close high-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Iran deal after May 31
Covers 3 related markets
Belgium advances on penalties, slow start
Covers 3 related markets
Bilibili Gaming starts fast
Covers 3 related markets
Morocco wins 2-0, Canada advances
Covers 3 related markets
Hanwha Life sweeps LYON
Covers 3 related markets
HLE wins series, games split
Covers 3 related markets
Bilibili wins series 2-1
Covers 3 related markets
Hanwha Life will dominate T1 series
Covers 4 related markets
