Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
24 smart money signals detected, totaling $664,705.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
42-wallet Croatia flow
High-conviction Croatia-side flow is notable, with 42 wallets totaling about $253k plus a large repeat new-wallet trade, though this specific wallet has no proven edge.
- 42 wallets are all taking the Croatia side, totaling about $253k in one-sided flow.
- This new 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with $8.6k flagged.
- Market volume spiked 59x versus baseline, suggesting unusual pre-match positioning.
$2,887 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 50%
51-wallet Portugal sharp cluster
Huge coordinated Portugal-side flow from 51 wallets, including several highly profitable sports/event traders, makes this a strong copy-trade signal despite some opposing market activity.
- 51 wallets pushed $321K toward Portugal, with two linked funder relationships showing coordinated conviction.
- Several participating bettors have strong records, including one up $8.2M lifetime with an 85% win record.
- The flow came with a 59x volume spike and roughly 20-point Portugal price move, suggesting major momentum behind the bet.
$445,884 on Portugal
Sharp bettor joins 24-wallet Croatia push
A highly profitable 85% winner bought Croatia while 24 wallets put $165k the same way, despite the price later falling sharply.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $8.2M lifetime.
- 24 wallets all bought Croatia, totaling $165.6k in one-sided flow.
- Croatia was bought at 58¢ but now sits near 29¢, making this a contrarian follow of a proven bettor.
$4,725 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 85%
New whale in 14-wallet push
A brand-new whale joined a 14-wallet one-sided Portugal push, with $75.7k clustered flow and a 17x volume spike despite the trade moving slightly against entry.
- A 10-hour-old wallet bought $11.8k of Portugal and has already had $57k in flagged bets.
- 14 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $75.7k of Portugal demand.
- The market saw a 17x volume spike, and Portugal can currently be followed below this bettor’s 74¢ entry.
$11,799 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable new sports whale
Very new wallet with repeat large-bet flags and strong early profits bought Portugal at 73¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $52k after winning 6 of 8 resolved bets.
- It has been flagged 7 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling nearly $90k in notable activity.
- Portugal was bought at 73¢ as market volume ran 21.5x above its historical average.
$3,060 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 60%
New wallet is 9-for-9
A 2-day-old wallet with a 9-for-9 resolved record and $8,082 profit is continuing to place sizable sports bets, buying $3,000 of Portugal despite the market being highly liquid.
- This new bettor has won all 9 resolved trades and is up $8,082 so far.
- They have already had $65,000 in flagged bets across 9 positions despite the wallet being only 2 days old.
- This is a fresh $3,000 buy on Portugal at 76¢, implying continued confidence even after Portugal moved up over the past day.
$3,000 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 89%
98% winner on sports
Sharp sports wallet with a 98% resolved win record and strong cross-market history bought $20k of Portugal at 75¢.
- This bettor has won 56 of 57 resolved bets and is up $129k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.29M deployed across 62 events.
- A $20k buy at 75¢ suggests continued confidence despite Portugal already being favored.
$20,000 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 94%
97% winner backs Portugal
A highly proven sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and $157k profit bought Portugal at 72¢ amid elevated pre-game volume.
- This bettor has won 74 of 76 resolved positions and is up $157k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 37 events with a 97% win record.
- The market saw a 14.6x volume spike before kickoff, supporting the move into Portugal.
$4,174 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp wallet joins Croatia cluster
High-scoring Croatia buy cluster is worth surfacing because coordinated flow includes a profitable 83% bettor, though opposing Portugal flow makes the signal mixed.
- A bettor who wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $47k is buying with this Croatia cluster.
- 8 wallets bought $38.6k of Croatia, alongside a 33-point price burst in the market.
- Signal is mixed because a larger 14-wallet group also bought Portugal for $75.7k.
$38,589 on Croatia
Sharp underdog bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win record and positive lifetime P&L is taking Croatia at 28% despite Portugal being favored.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $15.5K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 50 events with the same 81% win record.
- Buying Croatia at 28¢ implies a contrarian underdog view with roughly 3.6x payout if correct.
$2,000 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x6d77...bcaf — Croatia, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x3a6a...458e — Croatia, $73,029 (100% win rate)
- 0x8b5a...00f2 — Croatia, $68,003 (52% win rate)
- 0x55f9...8615 — Croatia, $28,638 (100% win rate)
- 0x8627...5382 — Croatia, $25,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Croatia, $20,101 (58% win rate)
- 0xe700...7005 — Croatia, $17,678 (49% win rate)
- 0x8b0d...59bd — Croatia, $14,777 (50% win rate)
- 0x4154...e7a8 — Croatia, $14,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x95f5...779f — Croatia, $12,670
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