Part of: Portugal vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $469,043.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster fading Over

High-scoring one-sided Under flow is worth surfacing because multiple profitable wallets participated, though some Over sells look like profit-taking after a huge Over move.

  • A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $540K sold Over, equivalent to buying Under around 13¢.
  • Eight wallets put $41.9K in the same Under direction, with several trades from profitable accounts.
  • Over has surged about 51 points in 24h, so this looks like sharp contrarian buying after a major move.

$41,889 on Under

Sharp bettors fade goal surge

Strong sharp-wallet and cross-market signals lean Under, though most of the size came from selling earlier Over positions after a major price rally.

  • A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $540K effectively bought Under around 13¢.
  • Another serial cross-market trader with a 74% record and $3.1M profit also bought Under at 15¢.
  • This is a contrarian fade after Over jumped 46 percentage points, with $25.7K leaning Under across 4 wallets.

$25,670 on Under

94% winner drives Over surge

Elite 94% win-rate sports wallet put $132k across correlated Portugal positions, including $50k on Over at 44¢ before the market surged to 76¢ amid heavy one-sided flow.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They bought $50k of Over at 44¢ before the price jumped to 76¢.
  • A wider crowd is aligned: 12 wallets bought Over for $176k during a 44x volume spike.

$132,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

12-wallet Over surge

High-conviction market-wide steam: 12 wallets bought Over for $176k amid a 44x volume spike and a 32-point move from this wallet’s entry.

  • 12 wallets are all buying Over, totaling $176k in one-sided flow.
  • The market has ripped from this bettor’s 44¢ entry to 76¢, with volume running 44x above normal.
  • This looks more like coordinated event steam than a sharp-wallet signal; this wallet’s long-run record is negative.

$7,535 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

98% winner buying Under

Elite sports wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Under despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $490K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 177 events with the same 98% hit rate, making the wallet itself the signal.
  • Buying Under at 57¢ goes against recent Over momentum, suggesting a sharp view on the total.

$2,970 on Under | Wallet win rate: 98%

94% winner buying Over

Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought $10k of Over 3.5 despite only modest alert severity.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.73M lifetime.
  • They bought about $10k of Over at 43¢, while also placing another ~$10k related soccer bet moments earlier.
  • The market has seen a 19.6x volume spike and Over has moved up about 6 points in the last day.

$20,001 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

88% sports bettor

A proven sports bettor with an 88% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $8.6k of Under despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 14 of 16 resolved trades and is up $1,726 lifetime.
  • They put $8.6k on Under at 57¢, a meaningful bet from a wallet with a strong track record.
  • Market volume is running 11x above normal, so this bet lines up with elevated pre-game activity.

$8,560 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%

93% winner backs Over

Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong profits is buying Over 3.5 at 43¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved trades and is up $22.8k lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 44¢, so this 43¢ Over buy matches the range where they have been sharp.
  • Over has already moved up 6 points in 24 hours, adding momentum behind the bet.

$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%

Linked sharp cluster buying Over

A large 17-wallet linked cluster and several proven profitable sports traders aggressively bought Over, driving the price from the mid-40s to 76% amid a major volume spike.

  • 17 wallets bought $229K of Over, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • Several strong sports traders joined, including one up $503K with a 90% record and another showing a 94% record.
  • The market moved sharply with them: Over rose about 35–39 percentage points on a 64x volume spike.

$228,918 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0xe549...2d54 Outcome 50621739, $549,999 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xc430...1ebf Outcome 50621739, $350,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x9243...658e Outcome 50621739, $199,999 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 50621739, $63,000 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x8ca5...fd56 Outcome 50621739, $62,851 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xe653...c4a7 Outcome 50621739, $40,000 (74% win rate)
  7. 0x91b9...3ab4 Outcome 50621739, $30,000 (88% win rate)
  8. 0x2e78...067e Outcome 50621739, $20,951 (61% win rate)
  9. 0xaff3...c3b2 Outcome 50621739, $20,947 (69% win rate)
  10. 0xe866...1ca8 Outcome 50621739, $18,023

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Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

ResolvedPortugal vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets$469,043 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Uzbekistan, scheduled for June 23 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Portugal and Uzbekistan combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Uzbekistan
UZB
0
World Cup
Full Time
Portugal
POR
5
POR 1/100UZB 50/1
Venue
NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Attendance
68,777
Price History — “Over
85¢
60¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$41,889 on Under at 13¢

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$25,670 on Under at 13¢

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$132,000 on Over at 44¢

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$7,535 on Over at 44¢

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$2,970 on Under at 57¢

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$20,001 on Over at 43¢

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$8,560 on Under at 57¢

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$1,500 on Over at 43¢

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$228,918 on Over at 44¢

Related Theses