Part of: Portugal vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $469,043.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster fading Over
High-scoring one-sided Under flow is worth surfacing because multiple profitable wallets participated, though some Over sells look like profit-taking after a huge Over move.
- A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $540K sold Over, equivalent to buying Under around 13¢.
- Eight wallets put $41.9K in the same Under direction, with several trades from profitable accounts.
- Over has surged about 51 points in 24h, so this looks like sharp contrarian buying after a major move.
$41,889 on Under
Sharp bettors fade goal surge
Strong sharp-wallet and cross-market signals lean Under, though most of the size came from selling earlier Over positions after a major price rally.
- A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $540K effectively bought Under around 13¢.
- Another serial cross-market trader with a 74% record and $3.1M profit also bought Under at 15¢.
- This is a contrarian fade after Over jumped 46 percentage points, with $25.7K leaning Under across 4 wallets.
$25,670 on Under
94% winner drives Over surge
Elite 94% win-rate sports wallet put $132k across correlated Portugal positions, including $50k on Over at 44¢ before the market surged to 76¢ amid heavy one-sided flow.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $6.9M lifetime.
- They bought $50k of Over at 44¢ before the price jumped to 76¢.
- A wider crowd is aligned: 12 wallets bought Over for $176k during a 44x volume spike.
$132,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
12-wallet Over surge
High-conviction market-wide steam: 12 wallets bought Over for $176k amid a 44x volume spike and a 32-point move from this wallet’s entry.
- 12 wallets are all buying Over, totaling $176k in one-sided flow.
- The market has ripped from this bettor’s 44¢ entry to 76¢, with volume running 44x above normal.
- This looks more like coordinated event steam than a sharp-wallet signal; this wallet’s long-run record is negative.
$7,535 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%
98% winner buying Under
Elite sports wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Under despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $490K lifetime.
- They have traded across 177 events with the same 98% hit rate, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Buying Under at 57¢ goes against recent Over momentum, suggesting a sharp view on the total.
$2,970 on Under | Wallet win rate: 98%
94% winner buying Over
Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought $10k of Over 3.5 despite only modest alert severity.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.73M lifetime.
- They bought about $10k of Over at 43¢, while also placing another ~$10k related soccer bet moments earlier.
- The market has seen a 19.6x volume spike and Over has moved up about 6 points in the last day.
$20,001 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
88% sports bettor
A proven sports bettor with an 88% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $8.6k of Under despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 14 of 16 resolved trades and is up $1,726 lifetime.
- They put $8.6k on Under at 57¢, a meaningful bet from a wallet with a strong track record.
- Market volume is running 11x above normal, so this bet lines up with elevated pre-game activity.
$8,560 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
93% winner backs Over
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong profits is buying Over 3.5 at 43¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved trades and is up $22.8k lifetime.
- Their average winning entry was 44¢, so this 43¢ Over buy matches the range where they have been sharp.
- Over has already moved up 6 points in 24 hours, adding momentum behind the bet.
$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%
Linked sharp cluster buying Over
A large 17-wallet linked cluster and several proven profitable sports traders aggressively bought Over, driving the price from the mid-40s to 76% amid a major volume spike.
- 17 wallets bought $229K of Over, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- Several strong sports traders joined, including one up $503K with a 90% record and another showing a 94% record.
- The market moved sharply with them: Over rose about 35–39 percentage points on a 64x volume spike.
$228,918 on Over
Top Holders
- 0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 50621739, $549,999 (98% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 50621739, $350,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x9243...658e — Outcome 50621739, $199,999 (95% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 50621739, $63,000 (86% win rate)
- 0x8ca5...fd56 — Outcome 50621739, $62,851 (100% win rate)
- 0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 50621739, $40,000 (74% win rate)
- 0x91b9...3ab4 — Outcome 50621739, $30,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x2e78...067e — Outcome 50621739, $20,951 (61% win rate)
- 0xaff3...c3b2 — Outcome 50621739, $20,947 (69% win rate)
- 0xe866...1ca8 — Outcome 50621739, $18,023
Related Theses
Knicks win big over Spurs
Covers 12 related markets
Spurs win in a blowout
Covers 18 related markets
Spurs blow out Knicks
Covers 17 related markets
High-scoring close Netherlands-Sweden match
Covers 4 related markets
Ecuador routs Curaçao decisively
Covers 3 related markets
France dominates Iraq early
Covers 6 related markets
Japan routs Tunisia convincingly
Covers 5 related markets
France wins high-scoring shootout
Covers 4 related markets
Norway wins big over Iraq
Covers 5 related markets
Norway Senegal ends with four goals
Covers 3 related markets


