Part of: Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos

Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos

This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Norbert Gombos in the Prague 2, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Norbert Gombos. This market will resolve to 'Norbert Gombos' if Norbert Gombos advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $127,675.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor bought Bailly early

A highly experienced tennis-market trader with a 78% win rate and 33-point edge bought Bailly at 34%, with the price since rising to 52%.

This bettor wins 78% of 306 resolved positions and is up $747,155.
They bought Gilles Arnaud Bailly at 34%, while the market now prices him at 52%.
The $1,950 position came from a serial cross-market trader active across 504 events and 508 markets.

$2,502 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Wallet win rate: 73%

91% winner exits Bailly for Gombos

A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate sold Bailly at 68%, implying a contrarian buy on Gombos at 32%, though the trade may partly reflect profit-taking from an existing position.

This bettor has won 91% of 240 resolved positions and is up $7.5M lifetime.
The $32,942 exit at 68¢ implies buying Norbert Gombos around 32¢, against the market's 40% current price.
The trader has participated across 746 events, but had previously held Bailly, so this may be profit-taking rather than entirely fresh conviction.

$6,150 on Norbert Gombos | Wallet win rate: 38%

Sharp bettor bought Bailly early

A highly experienced tennis-market trader with a 78% win rate and 33-point edge bought Bailly at 34%, with the price since rising to 52%.

This bettor wins 78% of 306 resolved positions and is up $747,155.
They bought Gilles Arnaud Bailly at 34%, while the market now prices him at 52%.
The $1,950 position came from a serial cross-market trader active across 504 events and 508 markets.

$2,970 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Wallet win rate: 73%

Elite bettors back Norbert Gombos

Two highly profitable bettors and a third wallet collectively shifted nearly $8,000 toward Norbert Gombos, with entries below the current 40% price.

A bettor with a 91% win rate across 240 resolved positions and $7.5M in profits bought Norbert Gombos.
Another proven bettor wins 78% of 307 trades and is up $747,000, while selling the opposing outcome.
Three wallets committed $7,916 toward Gombos at effective prices around 29–37%, and the market has risen to 40%.

$8,808 on Norbert Gombos

91% winner exits Bailly for Gombos

A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate sold Bailly at 68%, implying a contrarian buy on Gombos at 32%, though the trade may partly reflect profit-taking from an existing position.

This bettor has won 91% of 240 resolved positions and is up $7.5M lifetime.
The $32,942 exit at 68¢ implies buying Norbert Gombos around 32¢, against the market's 40% current price.
The trader has participated across 746 events, but had previously held Bailly, so this may be profit-taking rather than entirely fresh conviction.

$2,800 on Norbert Gombos | Wallet win rate: 38%

Sharp bettor bought Bailly early

A highly experienced tennis-market trader with a 78% win rate and 33-point edge bought Bailly at 34%, with the price since rising to 52%.

This bettor wins 78% of 306 resolved positions and is up $747,155.
They bought Gilles Arnaud Bailly at 34%, while the market now prices him at 52%.
The $1,950 position came from a serial cross-market trader active across 504 events and 508 markets.

$4,016 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Wallet win rate: 73%

91% winner makes concentrated tennis bet

A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate made a concentrated $10,500 purchase at an average 47% entry, driving a major volume spike in a thinly traded tennis market.

This bettor has won 218 of 239 resolved trades and earned $7.5 million in P&L.
They invested $10,500 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly at an average 47¢, while the price has risen to 57¢.
The trade was about 7.7 times the market’s 24-hour volume and accompanied a 2,394× volume spike.

$35,742 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Wallet win rate: 38%

91% winner exits Bailly for Gombos

A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate sold Bailly at 68%, implying a contrarian buy on Gombos at 32%, though the trade may partly reflect profit-taking from an existing position.

This bettor has won 91% of 240 resolved positions and is up $7.5M lifetime.
The $32,942 exit at 68¢ implies buying Norbert Gombos around 32¢, against the market's 40% current price.
The trader has participated across 746 events, but had previously held Bailly, so this may be profit-taking rather than entirely fresh conviction.

$32,942 on Norbert Gombos | Wallet win rate: 38%

Sharp bettor bought Bailly early

A highly experienced tennis-market trader with a 78% win rate and 33-point edge bought Bailly at 34%, with the price since rising to 52%.

This bettor wins 78% of 306 resolved positions and is up $747,155.
They bought Gilles Arnaud Bailly at 34%, while the market now prices him at 52%.
The $1,950 position came from a serial cross-market trader active across 504 events and 508 markets.

$1,950 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Wallet win rate: 73%

91% winner leads Bailly cluster

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate led a coordinated $23.8K purchase of Bailly at roughly 49%, alongside a major volume spike in a relatively thin market.

The lead bettor wins 91% of 239 resolved positions and is up $7.5M, with a strong record buying around 48% odds.
Three wallets committed $23,845 to Bailly, representing a large share of recent market activity.
The buying occurred during a 3,746x volume spike, while Bailly is currently priced near 40% after entries around 45–50%.

$19,295 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly