Part of: Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic
This Prague 2 prediction market covers the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Nerman Fatic, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; if the match is canceled, tied, or unresolved for more than seven days, it resolves 50-50. PolySpotter tracks $18,319 in smart money for this market.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,946.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial bettor scaling into Fatic
A proven, highly active bettor is scaling into Nerman Fatic alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average winning price.
- This bettor has resolved 513 trades with a 74% win rate and $286,801 in reported profit.
- They added $12,499 to an existing Nerman Fatic position, bringing their invested stake above $32,000.
- Market activity was 1,196 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated attention before the match.
$18,319 on Nerman Fatic | Wallet win rate: 74%
Serial bettor scaling into Fatic
A proven, highly active bettor is scaling into Nerman Fatic alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average winning price.
- This bettor has resolved 513 trades with a 74% win rate and $286,801 in reported profit.
- They added $12,499 to an existing Nerman Fatic position, bringing their invested stake above $32,000.
- Market activity was 1,196 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated attention before the match.
$2,929 on Nerman Fatic | Wallet win rate: 74%
84% winner scaling into Nerman Fatic
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate added $9,600 to Nerman Fatic amid a 1,000x volume spike, despite the position moving against them.
- This bettor has won 84% of 595 resolved trades and is up $117,869 lifetime.
- They added $9,600 to an existing Nerman Fatic position at 45¢, signaling increased conviction despite the market falling to 38¢.
- The market saw a 1,009x historical volume spike, while this trader has positioned across 362 events.
$11,447 on Nerman Fatic | Wallet win rate: 83%
Three-wallet Fatic conviction cluster
Three wallets, including a highly profitable 82% winner, are adding to or initiating a sizable Nerman Fatic position amid a major volume spike and sharp move against Mrva.
- Three wallets committed $32,079 to Nerman Fatic, with two adding to substantial existing positions.
- One bettor wins 82% of 612 resolved bets and is up $121,599 lifetime.
- Trading surged to 224 times its historical average while Mrva's price fell 16.5% in five minutes.
$32,079 on Nerman Fatic
Serial bettor scaling into Fatic
A proven, highly active bettor is scaling into Nerman Fatic alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average winning price.
- This bettor has resolved 513 trades with a 74% win rate and $286,801 in reported profit.
- They added $12,499 to an existing Nerman Fatic position, bringing their invested stake above $32,000.
- Market activity was 1,196 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated attention before the match.
$12,499 on Nerman Fatic | Wallet win rate: 74%
Proven bettor adds to Mrva
A proven 78% bettor with $92,428 in profits added to Maxim Mrva amid a 519x volume spike, making this a notable but price-sensitive signal.
- This bettor has won 78% of 103 resolved trades and is up $92,428 lifetime.
- The trade helped coincide with a 519x spike versus typical market volume.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Mrva position despite the market now pricing him at only 44%.
$1,074 on Maxim Mrva | Wallet win rate: 79%
84% winner scaling into Nerman Fatic
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate added $9,600 to Nerman Fatic amid a 1,000x volume spike, despite the position moving against them.
- This bettor has won 84% of 595 resolved trades and is up $117,869 lifetime.
- They added $9,600 to an existing Nerman Fatic position at 45¢, signaling increased conviction despite the market falling to 38¢.
- The market saw a 1,009x historical volume spike, while this trader has positioned across 362 events.
$9,600 on Nerman Fatic | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 22516652, $46,012 (91% win rate)
- 0x9d3e...986c — Outcome 22516652, $29,907 (82% win rate)
- 0x71d6...7248 — Outcome 22516652, $3,333 (38% win rate)
- 0x4a55...a82a — Outcome 22516652, $2,298 (74% win rate)
- 0x26f2...4c29 — Outcome 22516652, $1,000
- 0x9c5b...ec01 — Outcome 22516652, $958
- 0x57b2...9da2 — Outcome 22516652, $712 (91% win rate)
- 0x689f...259c — Outcome 22516652, $604 (53% win rate)
- 0x7547...d158 — Outcome 22516652, $600
- 0xa212...9161 — Outcome 22516652, $500
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