What is the Predict.fun FDV above $100M market about?

This market predicts whether Predict.fun’s governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $100 million one day after its launch.

How is Predict.fun’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. If that value is above $100 million at the resolution time, the market resolves Yes.

When does this Predict.fun prediction market resolve?

The market is scheduled with a resolution date of January 1, 2028, but the key measurement time is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token’s launch.

What counts as the Predict.fun token launch?

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. A private allocation or non-transferable token event would not count.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $19,045 in smart money exposure on this market, with recent alerts including a whale sweeping Yes and activity from a profitable serial cross-market seller.

Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $100 million one day after launch. Resolution is based on total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable. PolySpotter is tracking $19,045 in smart money activity, including recent whale buying on Yes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,946.

Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

New whale sweeping Yes

A 9-day-old repeat whale put $19k on Yes across a niche crypto launch market, sweeping price from 54¢ to 88¢ and showing strong conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

This 9-day-old wallet has now triggered 24 large-bet alerts totaling $114k.
They bought $19k of Yes and pushed the price from 54¢ to 88¢ in minutes.
The bet is on a niche crypto launch valuation market where informed positioning is plausible.

$19,045 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial cross-market seller

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a large sample is taking the contrarian No side against an 88% Yes price with a bet equal to most of the market’s 24h volume.

This bettor has a long track record: 744 resolved bets, 63% wins, and $145k lifetime profit.
They are taking the contrarian side, effectively buying No at 13¢ while the market prices Yes near 88%.
The $8.7k trade is large for this market, equal to about 75% of the past day’s volume.

$8,704 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

A profitable bettor with a 75% win rate made a large $6.2k buy that was over 6x the market’s recent activity, adding notable conviction in a relatively quiet token-launch market.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $39k overall
They bought $6.2k of Yes, more than 6x the market’s recent tracked activity
The buy came at 82¢ while Yes now sits around 84¢, showing strong conviction near the top of the range

$6,198 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%