Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. For this market, launch only counts once the token is publicly transferable and actively tradable, and FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. PolySpotter currently tracks $4,274 in smart money on this market, including a recent alert showing an 88% win-rate trader buying Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,216.
Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, fdv, Pre-Market
Notable Trades
88% win-rate event specialist
A proven 88% win-rate bettor is making a fresh cross-market event trade here by selling No at 84¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 16¢, and the bet is large relative to recent volume.
- This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and has been active across 106 events.
- They sold No at 84¢, which is the same as buying Yes around 16¢ on a low-probability outcome.
- This single $4.3k trade was bigger than the market's recent 24-hour volume, showing real conviction.
$4,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% winner buying Yes
A proven sharp wallet with an 88% win rate made a fresh $15.1k contrarian bet on Yes by selling No across related Predict.fun markets, with trade size large relative to recent volume.
- This bettor wins 88% of their trades across 86 resolved markets.
- They put $15.1k into the Predict.fun thesis across 3 related markets, showing a coordinated event view.
- Their orders were bigger than recent market flow, suggesting real conviction rather than routine trading.
$15,102 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
A proven cross-market trader with a 73% win rate made a large, concentrated NO bet on this event set, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than routine flow.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and has made nearly $37k profit across 56 settled markets
- They have traded 61 related markets across 37 events, and put $28.6k into 3 markets in this same event
- This $4.8k buy was 66% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction even in a thinner market
$4,840 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xac3a...798d — Yes, $45,589
- 0xf27b...6104 — Yes, $18,418
- 0xdfc4...079f — No, $11,657 (50% win rate)
- 0xf6eb...dcf1 — No, $10,000
- 0xbda8...2fd6 — No, $9,909
- 0x88e1...3077 — Yes, $8,059
- 0x753f...89b2 — Yes, $7,096
- 0x9ab0...cbb6 — Yes, $6,799
- 0x77fc...c044 — Yes, $6,752
- 0x75cc...51a3 — No, $6,000
