Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched. PolySpotter is tracking $5,445 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent linked wallet buying YES.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,445.
Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market
Notable Trades
New linked wallet buying YES
A 13-day-old repeat large bettor bought $5.4k of Yes at 75¢ on a relatively quiet FDV market, with a linked-wallet funding pattern adding conviction.
- A 13-day-old wallet put $5.4k on Yes at 75¢, a large bet versus the market’s $8.2k daily volume.
- The wallet is already up $2.45k on $10.8k invested, though its resolved history is still very small.
- A second wallet shares the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the Yes position.
$5,445 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa66c...f291 — Yes, $65,575
- 0x6fbb...a41a — No, $17,081
- 0x5bff...ffbe — No, $14,865 (47% win rate)
- 0xac9b...d4c5 — Yes, $14,133 (37% win rate)
- 0x4047...7293 — No, $13,699 (54% win rate)
- 0x7eb8...902a — Yes, $11,321 (35% win rate)
- 0x8a09...e317 — No, $11,089
- 0x654b...35e6 — Yes, $10,645
- 0x16bd...e288 — No, $10,454 (44% win rate)
- 0xfc1c...5d10 — Yes, $10,119
