Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $400 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch. For this market, launch only counts once the token is publicly transferable and actively tradable, and FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. The market is currently listed as a crypto pre-market and is set to resolve by January 1, 2028 if needed under its rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,142.
Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, fdv, Pre-Market
Notable Trades
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 5-day-old wallet has already made 12 sizable bets totaling $21k and is adding another $3.1k into this market, which makes it a credible new-wallet conviction signal despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 12 large-bet alerts with $21k flagged in total
- It just put $3.1k into Yes in two buys at 35-36¢, showing fresh conviction rather than profit-taking
- At 35-36¢, the bettor is paying a price that implies this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market thinks
$3,142 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa66c...f291 — Yes, $31,328
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — No, $25,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xac9b...d4c5 — Yes, $19,828 (35% win rate)
- 0x86fc...bfad — Yes, $16,195
- 0xcff3...2eee — Yes, $15,130
- 0xf575...b53a — No, $11,761
- 0xfc1c...5d10 — Yes, $11,065
- 0x0072...3d75 — Yes, $10,006 (71% win rate)
- 0xefb3...02bf — No, $10,000 (74% win rate)
- 0x1ca4...f2d4 — No, $10,000
