Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This Predict.fun prediction market asks whether the project's governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $500 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its public token launch. For this market, launch only counts once the token is publicly transferable and actively tradable, and FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. PolySpotter currently tracks $7,400 in smart money on this market, with a recent alert showing a serial event trader buying No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,400.
Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, fdv, Pre-Market
Notable Trades
Serial event trader buying No
A highly active cross-market trader with a solid long-term record put $7.4k into No across this event, and the second fill at 65¢ is already marked up to 72¢.
- This bettor has 1,607 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up about $30.7k overall
- They put $7.4k into No across two buys, including one at 65¢ that is already up with No now at 72¢
- They trade related markets at scale across this event set, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a random one-off bet
$7,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xac9b...d4c5 — Yes, $16,651 (37% win rate)
- 0xf27b...6104 — Yes, $13,656
- 0x79b6...2026 — Yes, $11,436 (58% win rate)
- 0x5bff...ffbe — No, $11,143 (47% win rate)
- 0xa66c...f291 — Yes, $10,427
- 0xc88e...f3e1 — No, $10,000 (37% win rate)
- 0x0072...3d75 — Yes, $10,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x93c4...d471 — Yes, $9,330
- 0x1ca4...f2d4 — No, $8,885
- 0x05ab...8145 — Yes, $6,474 (45% win rate)
Related Theses
High-scoring outcome volatility
Covers 3 related markets
