Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,400.

Notable Trades

Serial event trader buying No

A highly active cross-market trader with a solid long-term record put $7.4k into No across this event, and the second fill at 65¢ is already marked up to 72¢.

  • This bettor has 1,607 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up about $30.7k overall
  • They put $7.4k into No across two buys, including one at 65¢ that is already up with No now at 72¢
  • They trade related markets at scale across this event set, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a random one-off bet

$7,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0xac9b...d4c5 Yes, $15,664 (35% win rate)
  2. 0x43a6...8b32 Yes, $14,685
  3. 0xf27b...6104 Yes, $13,656
  4. 0x8ad7...c55b No, $12,259 (73% win rate)
  5. 0x5bff...ffbe No, $11,143 (46% win rate)
  6. 0xaacf...9837 Yes, $10,786
  7. 0xa66c...f291 Yes, $10,427
  8. 0x0072...3d75 Yes, $10,000 (71% win rate)
  9. 0x7eb8...902a Yes, $9,076
  10. 0x5a38...0470 Yes, $8,268

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

637d$7,400 tracked1 signalCryptoPredict.funfdvPre-Market
Yes
27¢
No
74¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Notable Trades

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

3h ago

$7,400 on No at 65¢

65¢74¢9¢

Related Theses

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | PolySpotter