Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $600 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch. For the market to count, the token must be publicly transferable and actively tradable, and FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. The market is currently in the pre-market phase and is set to resolve by January 1, 2028 if needed under the listed rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,332.
Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, fdv, Pre-Market
Notable Trades
92% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 92% win rate is taking the equivalent of a fresh Yes position here, and their cross-market event trading makes this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 106 bets
- They sold No at 74¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 26¢
- They are trading multiple markets tied to the same event, suggesting a deliberate thesis
$1,332 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xf27b...6104 — Yes, $23,351
- 0x5bff...ffbe — No, $9,861 (47% win rate)
- 0x1ca4...f2d4 — No, $8,737
- 0x05ab...8145 — No, $8,366 (45% win rate)
- 0x9ab0...cbb6 — Yes, $7,400
- 0x7eb8...902a — Yes, $7,165
- 0x6138...97a0 — No, $6,000
- 0x66ad...cc4e — Yes, $5,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xac9b...d4c5 — Yes, $4,587 (36% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — No, $4,412 (63% win rate)
