What is the Predict.fun FDV above $800M market about?

This market predicts whether Predict.fun's governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $800 million one day after its launch.

How is Predict.fun's FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the token's total supply by its token price at the resolution time.

When does this Predict.fun prediction market resolve?

The market resolves at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch, meaning once the token is actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The listed resolution date is Jan. 1, 2028.

What counts as a Predict.fun token launch?

For this market, the token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. A private allocation, non-transferable token, or non-tradable claim would not qualify as a launch.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $2,095 in smart money for this market, with one recent alert showing a 96% winner buying Yes.

Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Predict.fun's governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $800 million one day after launch. Resolution is based on total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable, with the listed resolution date set for Jan. 1, 2028. PolySpotter is tracking $2,095 in smart money activity, including one recent signal from a 96% winner buying Yes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,548.

Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

96% winner buying Yes

Surfacing because a highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet is buying Yes and has related cross-market positioning despite only moderate trade size.

This bettor has won 25 of 26 resolved bets and is up $13.2K lifetime.
They are positioning across 2 related Predict.fun markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 40¢ implies they see meaningful upside versus the current 40% market price.

$2,095 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

A proven 88% win-rate trader with broad cross-market experience is making a fresh five-figure NO bet in a niche crypto launch market at 84¢, suggesting confidence that the current 86% odds are still justified.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 81 bets and has traded 106 events.
They made a fresh $10.5k buy on NO at 84¢, a sizable bet in a market with only $16k of 24-hour volume.
They also trade related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt.

$10,453 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%