Part of: Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,776.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor takes profit
A highly profitable 92% win-rate sports bettor closed a Baez position after a major move, but this looks more like profit-taking than a fresh Molcan conviction bet.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $172K lifetime.
- They sold Baez after entering around 56¢ and exiting near 86¢, so this looks like disciplined profit-taking.
- The wallet is a massive serial sports trader, active across 618 events with $1.3M traded.
$4,652 on Alex Molcan | Wallet win rate: 90%
87% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly proven sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $331k lifetime profit is buying Sebastian Baez at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $331,694 lifetime.
- They have traded across 100 events with a strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 60¢ implies they see Baez as underpriced despite the market already favoring him.
$1,189 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 79%
93% sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% record and extensive cross-market history bought Sebastian Baez at 60¢ on a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $375K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 57 events with $817K in tracked cross-market volume.
- The $2.9K Baez buy was about 65% of recent market volume, showing strong conviction in a quieter match market.
$2,935 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 95%
92% winner backs Baez
A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% record and $172k profit is making a fresh $3k Baez bet that equals two-thirds of the market’s daily volume.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $172k lifetime.
- They have traded 617 events with $1.3M total volume, showing a long sports betting track record.
- The $3k Baez buy is 66% of the market’s 24h volume, signaling strong conviction in a quiet match market.
$3,000 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 54669887, $2,178 (62% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 54669887, $1,590 (74% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 54669887, $1,120 (82% win rate)
- 0x4a3f...4333 — Outcome 54669887, $1,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xdaf6...1a9b — Outcome 54669887, $832
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 54669887, $753 (71% win rate)
- 0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 54669887, $750 (70% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 54669887, $673 (79% win rate)
- 0x0e50...2609 — Outcome 54669887, $616 (0% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 54669887, $616 (91% win rate)
Related Theses
Jaume Munar beats Basavareddy
Covers 1 related market
