Red Wings vs. Lightning
This Polymarket tracks the outcome of the April 13 NHL game between the Detroit Red Wings and Tampa Bay Lightning. The market resolves to Red Wings or Lightning based on the final score, including overtime and shootouts, with resolution after the game is completed. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,336 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 13 at 7:00PM ET: If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,576.
Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet repeats
A 5-day-old wallet with strong early profits keeps making sizable bets and just bought Lightning at 63¢, suggesting repeat high-conviction positioning worth tracking despite the otherwise liquid market.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times and is up $2,171 on $9,612 invested
- Early results are strong with an 80% win rate across 5 resolved bets
- This is a fresh $1,336 buy on Lightning at 63¢, showing repeat conviction rather than profit-taking
$1,336 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 80%
13-wallet funded cluster
A linked-wallet cluster put about $60k on Red Wings at 37-38¢, led by a highly profitable cross-market bettor and backed by strong one-sided coordinated flow.
- Three linked wallets piled roughly $60k into Red Wings at 37-38¢ within minutes, a clear coordinated bet.
- One wallet in the cluster has won 68% of 749 resolved bets and is up about $5.0M lifetime.
- The same funder has been tied to 13 wallets across prior runs, and this market also saw a 67.7x volume spike.
$60,315 on Red Wings
82% winner joins cluster
A highly profitable 82% win-rate bettor joined 3 other wallets buying Lightning in a one-sided cluster during a major pregame volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $813k across more than $3.1M invested
- Four wallets all bought Lightning in the same window for $13.6k total, pointing to a shared directional view
- The market saw a 70.6x surge in trading before the game, and this wallet paid 63¢ for Lightning
$2,442 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 82%
3-wallet funded cluster
A linked 3-wallet cluster is backing Red Wings, and this wallet is an extremely active cross-market trader making a sizable 38¢ entry before a sharp volume surge.
- Three wallets funded by the same source have put $8.8k behind this side, which points to coordinated conviction.
- This bettor has traded 191 markets across 170 events, showing a repeat pattern rather than a one-off punt.
- The $5k buy came at 38¢ just as volume spiked, offering a cheap entry if their thesis is right.
$5,000 on Red Wings | Wallet win rate: 56%
New wallet joins Lightning cluster
Three wallets piled into Lightning for $8.1k, led by a 5-day-old repeat large bettor already up $2.2k and supported by two profitable high-volume wallets.
- A 5-day-old wallet keeps making large bets and is already up $2.2k after just 5 resolved markets.
- Three wallets bought Lightning within minutes for $8.1k total, showing clear one-way conviction.
- One follower wallet has made over 3,400 bets and is up about $1.0M lifetime, adding experienced flow behind the move.
$8,086 on Lightning
Profitable whale hits thin book
A profitable high-volume bettor dropped $43.4k on Red Wings at 37¢ in a market that had been very quiet, creating an extreme volume spike that suggests real conviction.
- This wallet is up $3.7M overall and just bought $43.4k of Red Wings in one burst
- The buy hit a market that had only done about $5.3k in recent volume, so this order was over 7x that activity
- Entry at 37¢ means the bettor sees Red Wings as meaningfully better than the market price
$43,397 on Red Wings | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0x03e8...1697 — Red Wings, $129,508 (53% win rate)
- 0x9cb9...32f2 — Lightning, $35,150 (39% win rate)
- 0x32cc...68b3 — Red Wings, $16,729 (56% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Lightning, $15,863 (67% win rate)
- 0x3a6c...236d — Red Wings, $13,158 (63% win rate)
- 0x9f13...e0fd — Lightning, $11,412 (70% win rate)
- 0xead1...c76a — Lightning, $10,558 (48% win rate)
- 0x9e1c...b3ab — Lightning, $10,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x3e04...564d — Lightning, $8,518 (81% win rate)
- 0xa2f1...2d22 — Lightning, $6,000 (78% win rate)
