Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur
This prediction market covers who will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Damir Dzumhur, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves by May 31, 2026, based on which player advances, with PolySpotter tracking $17,728 in smart money across 3 signals, including activity from profitable tennis and sports bettors.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Damir Dzumhur in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Damir Dzumhur. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,370.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp-backed Dzumhur cluster
Five wallets bought Damir Dzumhur in a one-sided cluster, including a standout bettor with a 95% record and $132k profit, amid a 52x pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who has won 95% of resolved bets and is up $132k joined this Dzumhur buy.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $9.6k total, creating a clear one-sided position before the match.
- The market saw a 52x volume spike, and Dzumhur is now cheaper than the cluster’s roughly 45¢ average entry.
$9,630 on Damir Dzumhur
Profitable sports grinder
A massively active, profitable sports trader bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina before an 8-point move, alongside a large pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $3.0M across 35,455 resolved markets.
- They bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 54¢ before the market moved to 62¢.
- Pre-match volume is running about 52x normal, suggesting broader sharp interest.
$2,046 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports trader
A high-volume profitable sports trader with $3.0M lifetime profit is buying Alejandro Davidovich Fokina despite the alert having only a modest cross-market signal.
- This bettor has traded across 1,724 events and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- They are buying Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 69¢ after the price fell 16 points today.
- Entry at 69¢ implies a moderate favorite, not a long-shot punt.
$2,601 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Davidovich Fokina despite the market later moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 70% of nearly 27,000 resolved bets and is up $220,690 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 333 events, with $1.3M of detected positioning.
- Entry was 71¢, but the market has fallen to 62¢, offering a cheaper follow price if backing the same thesis.
$1,130 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial sports trader with a huge 27k-bet history bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and the market now offers a cheaper entry than his 57¢ fill.
- This bettor has won 70% of 26,987 resolved bets and is up $220,707 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 333 events with over $1.29M flagged volume.
- The market moved against their 57¢ entry to 44¢, giving a cheaper price if following the same view.
$1,198 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Fokina at 56¢, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor is up $109k lifetime with 130 resolved bets tracked.
- They have traded across 65 events and $401k of similar cross-market volume.
- The entry was 56¢, but the market has since dropped to 44¢, so this is now available cheaper than their buy.
$1,800 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable tennis sharps piling in
Three highly experienced, profitable sports traders bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina together, with the flow moving price back up despite a sharp 1-day drop.
- Three profitable high-volume wallets all bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the same window.
- One bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $220K across $8.6M invested.
- The buys helped push the price up about 15 points, after the market had fallen 22% over the day.
$5,234 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Profitable sports sharp
Surfaced despite a weak alert score because the wallet has a strong resolved record and positive P&L, buying Fokina at 78¢ before the market moved to 82¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $31.9K lifetime.
- They bought Fokina at 78¢, and the market has already moved to 82¢.
- This wallet has been flagged 9 times before, suggesting repeated notable sizing.
$2,730 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 80% win rate placed a $10k bet on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, larger than the market's recent daily volume.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $524k lifetime.
- They have traded 741 events with nearly $5M invested, suggesting a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
- The $10k buy was bigger than the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
$10,000 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Damir Dzumhur, $19,334 (72% win rate)
- 0x3663...8950 — Damir Dzumhur, $14,893 (59% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $11,367 (80% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Damir Dzumhur, $10,171 (81% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $10,055 (47% win rate)
- 0x9cb9...32f2 — Damir Dzumhur, $9,747 (39% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Damir Dzumhur, $7,382 (53% win rate)
- 0x489d...f6e3 — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $6,116 (53% win rate)
- 0xa3f8...4682 — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $5,533 (86% win rate)
- 0x710c...78ea — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $5,510 (91% win rate)
