Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul, scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 5, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $2,774 in smart money and 2 recent smart money signals, including sharp interest on Ruud and underdog backing for Paul.
47 smart money signals detected, totaling $254,569.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
89% winner joins Ruud cluster
A highly proven sports trader with an 89% win rate is effectively backing Casper Ruud, alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow on the same side.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $172k lifetime across 2,008 bets.
- Their sell of Tommy Paul at 43¢ is equivalent to buying Casper Ruud at 57¢.
- Eight wallets have backed the same Ruud side for $15k total, adding cluster support.
$1,004 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 89%
99% winner backing Ruud
Surface: a highly proven tennis bettor with 95/96 resolved wins bought Casper Ruud, alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow and immediate favorable price movement.
- This bettor has won 95 of 96 resolved trades and is up $37.7K lifetime.
- Eight wallets are all buying Casper Ruud, totaling $15.5K in same-side flow.
- They entered at 59¢ and the market has already moved to 68¢, suggesting the trade is being validated.
$1,770 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 99%
94% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought Casper Ruud, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $183,698 lifetime.
- They bought Casper Ruud at 70¢ in a very liquid tennis market.
- Ruud is now around 62¢, meaning the same side is available below the sharp bettor’s entry.
$2,600 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable sports whale buying underdog
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought $10.3k of Tommy Paul and helped move the price sharply upward despite the market being very liquid.
- This bettor is up about $2.0M lifetime across $24.0M traded.
- They added $10.3k on Tommy Paul, mostly at 31¢ before the market moved toward 38¢.
- This wallet has traded across 121 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$10,274 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable dip-buyer
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Casper Ruud during a fast 21-point dip and the market has already rebounded near the suggested copy ceiling.
- This bettor is up $191k lifetime across 255 resolved bets.
- They bought Casper Ruud at 53¢ during a rapid 21-point selloff, and the price has rebounded to 62¢.
- This wallet has traded 96 markets across 80 events, suggesting an experienced sports bettor rather than a one-off bet.
$2,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports trader put $22.8k on Tommy Paul, with a rapid 21-point move around the buying despite the market being very liquid.
- This bettor has won 59% of 156 resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought $22.8k of Tommy Paul around 35¢, a price that pays nearly 3x if he advances.
- The buying coincided with a 21-point Tommy Paul price jump in 4 minutes.
$22,755 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 59%
99% winner backs underdog surge
A six-wallet, $40k underdog push on Tommy Paul includes a standout bettor with a 99% record and $6.5M lifetime profit, plus rapid price movement in Paul’s favor.
- A bettor who wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $6.5M bought $10k of Tommy Paul.
- Six wallets put $40k on the same side, mostly buying Paul around 35–44¢.
- Paul’s price jumped 21 points in four minutes, showing strong momentum behind the move.
$40,292 on Tommy Paul
89% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite profitable wallet with an 89% long-term win rate bought Casper Ruud at 67¢ before the market moved to 82¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 592 events with the same 89% win rate, suggesting a durable sports edge.
- They bought Casper Ruud at 67¢ before the market moved to 82¢.
$1,575 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable dip-buyer
A profitable serial sports trader bought Casper Ruud during a sharp dip at 67¢ before the market rebounded to 82¢, though the trade size is modest relative to market volume.
- This bettor is up $49k lifetime across 185 resolved markets and has traded 51 related sports events.
- They bought Casper Ruud at 67¢ during a sharp move, and the price has already rebounded to 82¢.
- The entry implies they saw value before the market corrected, but current odds are already above the suggested chase price.
$1,655 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 56%
83% sharp on Paul
Sharp bettor with an 83% historical win rate bought Tommy Paul at 35¢ before a fast move to 54¢, supported by cross-market track record and volume/price momentum.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $97.6k lifetime.
- They bought Tommy Paul at 35¢ before the market jumped to 54¢ within minutes.
- The wallet has traded 62 related events with the same 83% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$1,760 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x5bec...b215 — Outcome 10242720, $117,624 (59% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10242720, $82,448 (71% win rate)
- 0x4be1...aa70 — Outcome 11510727, $54,468 (91% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 10242720, $54,389 (60% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 10242720, $32,565 (44% win rate)
- 0x02d8...0c91 — Outcome 10242720, $30,387 (84% win rate)
- 0x462d...ce9b — Outcome 11510727, $22,601 (56% win rate)
- 0x6b91...06c4 — Outcome 11510727, $21,761 (95% win rate)
- 0x5877...d894 — Outcome 10242720, $13,281 (92% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 10242720, $12,722 (43% win rate)
