Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong
This Polymarket covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Karen Khachanov and Jesper de Jong, resolving to the player who advances. The match was originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, with resolution expected by June 5, 2026 if a winner is determined within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $26,723 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent alerts showing elite wallet activity and sharp interest around the underdog.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Jesper de Jong in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Jesper de Jong. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $176,396.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable new whale joins cluster
High-conviction move from a profitable new wallet, reinforced by six-wallet one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a 35-point price move toward Jesper de Jong.
- A new bettor with $30K profit has repeatedly been flagged and just flipped exposure toward Jesper de Jong.
- Six wallets put $60K on the same side, pushing Karen Khachanov down from about 31¢ to 14¢.
- Market volume spiked 38x before the match, suggesting a broad rush of money behind the move.
$23,723 on Jesper de Jong | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial bettor joined cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Jesper de Jong before a major move, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 732 bets and is up $390,580 lifetime.
- Six wallets all bought Jesper de Jong, totaling $60,695 on the same side.
- The bettor entered at 63¢ and the market has already moved to 86¢, backed by a 38x volume spike.
$3,000 on Jesper de Jong | Wallet win rate: 75%
Elite wallets backing Karen
High-conviction Karen Khachanov flow is worth surfacing because multiple elite, highly profitable wallets bought the same side during a major price move.
- A bettor with a 99% record and $6.4M profit put $10,000 on Karen Khachanov.
- Another sharp wallet with a 95% record and $142K profit bought $13,755 at 54¢.
- Twelve wallets pushed $62K onto Karen, with early entries around 46–54¢ before the price moved to 68¢.
$62,245 on Karen Khachanov
91% sharp on underdog
Surfacing because this is a proven sharp tennis bettor with a 91% record and seven-wallet same-side flow, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $1.76M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 124 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Seven wallets bought Jesper de Jong, totaling $46.8K, but the market has since dropped from 58¢ to 32¢.
$3,480 on Jesper de Jong | Wallet win rate: 91%
91% winner joins 8-wallet flow
Elite profitable bettor with a 91% record bought Jesper de Jong while 8 wallets collectively pushed the same side amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.76M lifetime.
- 8 wallets are all buying Jesper de Jong, totaling $52.6K on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 156x before the match, suggesting a strong wave of informed positioning.
$13,292 on Jesper de Jong | Wallet win rate: 91%
81% winner joins 8-wallet flow
A highly profitable 81% win-rate serial sports trader bought Jesper de Jong while 8 wallets collectively pushed the same side amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $594k lifetime across 929 bets.
- 8 wallets bought the same side for $52.6k total, suggesting strong one-way conviction.
- He entered Jesper de Jong at 60¢, and the market is now around 52¢, offering a cheaper follow entry than the sharp paid.
$5,000 on Jesper de Jong | Wallet win rate: 81%
287-1 bettor-led cluster
Six wallets are all backing Khachanov, including a 287-1 resolved-bet wallet with strong profits, and their flow coincided with a major price move.
- A standout bettor with 287 wins in 288 resolved bets bought Khachanov at 44¢ and is up $207k lifetime.
- Six wallets put $13.8k on the same Khachanov side, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The trade wave pushed Khachanov sharply higher, from low entries around 21–44¢ to 52¢ now.
$13,788 on Karen Khachanov
Profitable sharp joins surge
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Jesper de Jong before a major one-sided surge and 27-point price move.
- This bettor has made $7.8M lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved bets.
- Three wallets bought Jesper de Jong in the same direction for $26K total.
- The trade entered at 37¢ before the market jumped to 62¢.
$10,290 on Jesper de Jong | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable pros backing underdog
Three profitable high-volume sports traders bought $20.7k of underdog Jesper de Jong amid a major pre-event volume spike and immediate move from 28-30¢ to 32¢.
- Three seasoned bettors bought $20.7k on the same underdog side before the match.
- The strongest wallet wins 71% of resolved bets and is up $13.7M lifetime.
- Their entries at 28–30¢ are already trading around 32¢, suggesting early momentum behind the position.
$20,685 on Jesper de Jong
Profitable whale on favorite
A profitable high-volume wallet put a $19.6k bet on Khachanov in a relatively quiet tennis market, far exceeding recent trading volume.
- This bettor is up $244k across 878 resolved bets, showing a long profitable track record.
- The $19.6k buy is over 16x the market’s recent 24h volume, signaling strong conviction in a quiet match market.
- Entry at 72¢ means the bettor is backing Khachanov as a clear favorite with room if the market moves toward him.
$19,607 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Jesper de Jong, $91,809 (91% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Jesper de Jong, $48,720 (53% win rate)
- 0xb38f...5048 — Karen Khachanov, $44,900 (95% win rate)
- 0xd38a...8d26 — Karen Khachanov, $43,064 (81% win rate)
- 0xef1b...8697 — Karen Khachanov, $33,934 (46% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Jesper de Jong, $31,624 (50% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Jesper de Jong, $30,201 (80% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Karen Khachanov, $27,232 (67% win rate)
- 0xde9f...d43c — Jesper de Jong, $26,191 (50% win rate)
- 0x6b91...06c4 — Karen Khachanov, $25,407 (95% win rate)
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