Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul
Roland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Rinky Hijikata and Tommy Paul, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 31, 2026 if the match is completed within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $5,294 in smart money across 2 signals, including alerts from high win-rate sports traders backing the favorite.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Tommy Paul in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Rinky Hijikata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,958.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
88% serial sports sharp
A highly proven serial cross-market sports bettor with an 88% win rate is fading Tommy Paul by effectively buying Rinky Hijikata at 12¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 1,322 bets and is up $47.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 273 events with over $1.2M in tracked volume.
- Selling Tommy Paul at 88¢ is equivalent to buying Rinky Hijikata at 12¢, a contrarian underdog position.
$1,635 on Rinky Hijikata | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Tommy Paul at 76¢ before the market moved to 80¢, though the signal is modest and the stake is small relative to market volume.
- This bettor has a long profitable record: 36,367 resolved trades and about $3.0M in lifetime profit.
- They bought Tommy Paul at 76¢, and the market has already moved to 80¢.
- This is a modest-sized bet, but it comes from a trader with $218M of historical volume.
$1,604 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 56%
Serial sports winner buying favorite
A profitable serial sports bettor with a 73% record and extensive cross-market history bought Tommy Paul at 88¢ amid a pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of 475 resolved trades and is up $32.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 116 events and $256K traded.
- Bought Tommy Paul at 88¢ as market volume spiked nearly 20x before the match.
$2,000 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 73%
86% winner backing favorite
Sharp profitable tennis bettor with an 86% record bought $3.3k of Tommy Paul alongside a notable pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $25k lifetime.
- They put $3.3k on Tommy Paul at 87¢, adding conviction despite Paul already being the heavy favorite.
- Market volume is nearly 20x normal, with Tommy Paul’s price up 5 points in the past day.
$3,294 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 86%
Perfect-record tennis sharp
Sharp serial sports bettor with a perfect 25-0 resolved record and strong profit bought $5,000 of the underdog despite the market later drifting lower.
- This bettor is 25-for-25 on resolved positions and is up $78,488 lifetime.
- They have traded across 37 events with a perfect recorded win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $5,000 buy on an 24¢ underdog came during a 27x pre-event volume spike.
$5,000 on Rinky Hijikata | Wallet win rate: 100%
81% winner backs favorite
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 81% win rate and large lifetime sample bought $5k of Tommy Paul amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $536k lifetime.
- They have traded across 756 events with nearly $4M in tracked cross-market volume.
- The market is seeing a 27x volume spike, and this wallet bought $5k of Tommy Paul at 83¢.
$5,000 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable serial sports trader
Experienced profitable cross-market trader bought Tommy Paul, but the position has moved against them since entry.
- This bettor has a long record: 471 resolved trades, 64% wins, and about $200K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 28 events and $588K in tracked correlated bets.
- The entry was 81¢, but Tommy Paul is now around 76¢, offering a cheaper follow than the original buy.
$1,035 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 64%
91% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $5.4k of Tommy Paul at 77%, continuing a highly successful cross-market pattern.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $288k lifetime.
- They have traded across 40 events with the same 91% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Bought $5.4k at 77%, and the market has already moved to 80%.
$5,390 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x7a3b...88e5 — Rinky Hijikata, $33,899 (45% win rate)
- 0x4e8b...05bd — Tommy Paul, $20,683 (97% win rate)
- 0xddfc...bd59 — Rinky Hijikata, $20,573 (100% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Tommy Paul, $18,459 (54% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Tommy Paul, $17,747 (53% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Tommy Paul, $16,273 (47% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Tommy Paul, $14,193 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Tommy Paul, $11,331 (71% win rate)
- 0xce9f...26e8 — Rinky Hijikata, $9,957 (98% win rate)
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Rinky Hijikata, $7,642 (31% win rate)
