Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta
This Polymarket market covers who will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Pablo Carreno Busta, scheduled for May 29, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $9,823 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including sharp interest around the underdog side. The market is set to resolve by June 5, 2026, based on which player advances, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules.
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,346.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% winner backing underdog
A highly profitable 91% lifetime winner is buying Tirante alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-event volume surge.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $516K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $857K tracked across 51 events.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $14K total as volume spiked 11.5x before the match.
$2,315 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 91%
5-wallet underdog cluster
Despite this wallet's poor history, a 5-wallet same-direction cluster and 11.5x volume spike make the Tirante buy worth surfacing as coordinated pre-match/in-play flow.
- Five wallets are all buying Thiago Agustin Tirante, totaling $14,002 on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 11.5x above normal, suggesting a sudden wave of attention around this match.
- This wallet bought twice around 43¢ average, while the market now sits near 44¢.
$3,827 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 47%
Five-wallet Tirante buy cluster
Surfacing because five wallets bought Thiago Tirante together into a pre-event volume spike, including a high-volume wallet with nearly $485k lifetime profit.
- Five wallets bought Thiago Tirante in the same window, totaling $14k on one side.
- This bettor has a long track record and is up about $485k lifetime across 7,148 resolved trades.
- Market volume jumped 11.5x before the match, though this 48¢ entry is now trading around 44¢.
$3,681 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 53%
91% winner in wallet cluster
A proven 91% winning sports bettor with $2.68M profit joined a larger one-sided Tirante buying cluster, though the position has moved sharply against entry.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.68M lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Tirante the same way, with $73k in one-sided flow and 3 linked wallets sharing a funder.
- The trade entered at 51¢, but Tirante is now around 16¢, so the sharp thesis is available much cheaper but has moved against them.
$2,143 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 91%
86% sharp joins underdog cluster
Sharp 86% win-rate tennis bettor bought the underdog alongside a 7-wallet one-sided cluster despite the price moving against them.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $84.7K lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought the same underdog, totaling $73K on Thiago Agustin Tirante.
- They paid 22¢ after closing the other side, suggesting a clear reversal in view.
$2,591 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 86%
92% winner on underdog
High-confidence tennis underdog bet from a 92% winning wallet, supported by one-sided flow from 7 wallets despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $98k lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought the same underdog side for $73k total.
- The market is now 16¢, below this sharp bettor’s 25¢ entry.
$1,007 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 93%
91% winner buying dip
High-conviction cluster on Pablo Carreno Busta led by a bettor with a 91% track record and $1.7M lifetime profit, buying into a sharp price drop.
- The lead bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $21.7K of Pablo Carreno Busta after his price fell sharply.
- This is a liquid, high-volume tennis market, so the edge comes mainly from the proven bettor’s track record.
$21,680 on Pablo Carreno Busta
75% serial sports winner
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% record and strong lifetime profit is effectively buying Tirante, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $387K lifetime.
- They are a major serial cross-market trader, active across 474 events with nearly $2M in tracked volume.
- Four wallets are all backing Tirante, with market volume spiking 50x before the match.
$1,808 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial tennis bettor
A highly experienced profitable sports bettor is buying Tirante alongside one-sided wallet flow and a 50x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 69% of over 30,000 resolved trades and is up $264,950 lifetime.
- Four wallets bought Tirante in the same window, totaling about $8,003 on one side.
- Market volume spiked 50x before the match, suggesting fresh attention behind the move.
$1,358 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial bettor joins cluster
Surfacing because a profitable serial sports bettor joined one-sided flow from 4 wallets during a 50x pre-match volume spike on Tirante.
- This bettor has a 62% record across 52 resolved markets and is up about $59.8K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought Tirante in the same window, totaling about $8K on one side.
- Volume spiked 50x before the match, suggesting fresh conviction behind the move.
$1,959 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x5966...f804 — Outcome 19047430, $102,817 (91% win rate)
- 0x2fa0...be6d — Outcome 19047430, $38,014 (93% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Outcome 79339908, $25,345 (98% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 19047430, $19,973 (71% win rate)
- 0x5ba6...0f07 — Outcome 19047430, $18,938 (38% win rate)
- 0x18c4...f6dc — Outcome 19047430, $15,485 (73% win rate)
- 0x4064...5f1e — Outcome 19047430, $11,634 (86% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 19047430, $11,511 (47% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Outcome 79339908, $10,844 (50% win rate)
- 0x073f...ed92 — Outcome 19047430, $9,637 (62% win rate)
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