Part of: Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Facundo Acosta
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Facundo Acosta
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP qualifying match between August Holmgren and Facundo Acosta, scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 28, 2026 if the match is delayed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $1,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including activity from high-performing tennis and sports bettors.
This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Facundo Acosta in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Facundo Acosta. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,089.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
84% winning sports bettor
Surfaced due to a proven sports bettor with an 84% win rate over 747 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L buying Facundo Acosta.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets across 747 trades and is up $24.3K lifetime.
- They bought Facundo Acosta at 63¢ in a liquid Roland Garros qualifier market.
- The wallet has beaten its average implied odds by about 16 percentage points over a large sample.
$1,221 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 84%
88% winner buying underdog
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Holmgren in a tennis qualifier after notable price momentum.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $108,582 lifetime.
- They have a long sports track record across 67 events with an 88% hit rate.
- Holmgren has already moved up 14 points, and this entry around 46¢ implies meaningful upside.
$1,150 on August Holmgren | Wallet win rate: 88%
99% sports sharp
A highly proven sports bettor with a 99% resolved-bet win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Facundo Acosta despite the price drifting down afterward.
- This bettor has won 140 of 141 resolved bets and is up $91,952 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 44 events with a 99% win rate.
- Entry at 64¢ implies strong confidence in Facundo Acosta despite the market now sitting near 60¢.
$1,000 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 99%
92% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate and nearly $98k profit is buying Facundo Acosta in a Roland Garros qualifier.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $97,578 lifetime.
- They are a highly active cross-market trader, with bets across 536 events and a 92% hit rate.
- Entry at 59¢ suggests they see Acosta as stronger than the market’s current 58% price.
$1,900 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 92%
$11M profitable serial bettor
A hugely profitable serial sports bettor with a 72% record and $11.2M lifetime profit is re-entering Holmgren despite the market moving against him.
- This bettor has won 72% of 7,635 resolved trades and is up $11.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,845 events, suggesting a systematic sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Holmgren at 49¢, while the market is now around 42¢, offering a cheaper copy entry.
$1,074 on August Holmgren | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial sports sharp
Highly profitable serial sports trader with massive resolved history bought Acosta in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor has won 72% of 7,633 resolved trades and is up $11.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,839 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- The $1.7K Acosta buy is about one-third of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet match market.
$1,743 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xc5dc...7cf2 — Facundo Acosta, $12,222 (92% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — August Holmgren, $5,304 (56% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — August Holmgren, $3,644 (53% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Facundo Acosta, $3,104 (99% win rate)
- 0x0828...a1a6 — Facundo Acosta, $2,548 (53% win rate)
- 0x16db...8d0f — August Holmgren, $2,505 (88% win rate)
- 0x62ae...c975 — August Holmgren, $2,157 (32% win rate)
- 0xe2fd...ecf7 — Facundo Acosta, $2,093
- 0x98db...dd17 — August Holmgren, $1,668 (50% win rate)
- 0x6832...831f — Facundo Acosta, $1,423
