Part of: Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP qualifying match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Leandro Riedi, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by May 27, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $12,452 in smart money across 2 signals, including a sharp cluster and a profitable tennis whale alert.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Leandro Riedi in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Leandro Riedi. This market will resolve to 'Leandro Riedi' if Leandro Riedi advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,952.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
99% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite sharp wallet with a 99% resolved win rate and $6.0M lifetime profit bought Cadenasso at 33% in a Roland Garros qualifier.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $6.0M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 79 events tracked and a 99% hit rate.
- Entry at 33¢ implies they see Cadenasso as a ~3x opportunity despite the market pricing him near 35%.
$1,500 on Gianluca Cadenasso | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp cluster on same side
Three wallets are buying Cadenasso together, including a 92% winner and a whale up $10.9M lifetime, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest size.
- Three wallets bought $8.5k of the same player, showing coordinated conviction on Cadenasso.
- One buyer wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $98.6k lifetime.
- Another buyer has traded over $70M, wins 72% of bets, and is up $10.9M lifetime.
$8,452 on Gianluca Cadenasso
Profitable new tennis whale
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor with a 9-0 resolved record and $18k profit is buying Leandro Riedi for $4k in a relatively small tennis market.
- This 4-day-old bettor is 9-for-9 on resolved trades and up $18,097 so far.
- They have now been flagged 16 times for large bets, with $47,800 total in flagged positions.
- This $4,000 buy is meaningful for a market with only about $12,471 traded in 24 hours.
$4,000 on Leandro Riedi | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Leandro Riedi, $18,662 (72% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Leandro Riedi, $13,063
- 0x84cb...28ad — Gianluca Cadenasso, $8,308 (99% win rate)
- 0x482d...ba5e — Gianluca Cadenasso, $6,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Gianluca Cadenasso, $3,943 (56% win rate)
- 0xc181...0992 — Gianluca Cadenasso, $3,397 (92% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Gianluca Cadenasso, $3,174 (89% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Leandro Riedi, $2,860 (53% win rate)
- 0x710c...78ea — Gianluca Cadenasso, $2,716 (91% win rate)
- 0x1e33...afb3 — Leandro Riedi, $2,546 (55% win rate)
