Part of: Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP qualifying match between Michael Zheng and Stefano Travaglia, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 27, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $5,704 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,221.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

High-profit tennis sharp flips sides

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a huge track record flipped from Travaglia to Zheng and bought $5.7k after a major price move.

  • This bettor is up $10.8M lifetime across 7,312 resolved markets.
  • They closed a Travaglia position and bought $5.7k of Michael Zheng at 86¢.
  • Zheng has surged about 50 percentage points in the last day, with this wallet joining the move.

$5,704 on Michael Zheng | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a massive sample bought Stefano Travaglia, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the modest bet size.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $10.8M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,802 events with about $16.0M in cross-market volume.
  • Bought Travaglia at 57¢, above the current 46¢ market price, suggesting a contrarian view.

$1,851 on Stefano Travaglia | Wallet win rate: 72%

92% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven bettor with a 92% historical win rate and strong positive P&L bought Stefano Travaglia in this tennis qualifier.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $96K lifetime.
  • They have a huge cross-market track record: 528 events and $934K traded.
  • Buying Travaglia at 60¢ shows clear confidence versus the market near 58¢.

$1,300 on Stefano Travaglia | Wallet win rate: 92%

85% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp serial sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Stefano Travaglia at 58¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $39K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 140 events with nearly $396K in volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 58¢ implies they see Travaglia as meaningfully more likely than the market price.

$2,366 on Stefano Travaglia | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8f3c...2f57 Outcome 33832306, $8,519 (42% win rate)
  2. 0xe9d3...079f Outcome 33832306, $4,068 (85% win rate)
  3. 0xc181...0992 Outcome 33832306, $2,235 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 33832306, $1,453 (75% win rate)
  5. 0xda3a...381f Outcome 10509384, $1,170 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x2374...a426 Outcome 33832306, $926 (85% win rate)
  7. 0xeaac...d71d Outcome 33832306, $731
  8. 0x74bd...d371 Outcome 33832306, $708
  9. 0xce9d...3c05 Outcome 33832306, $570 (44% win rate)
  10. 0x010c...e732 Outcome 33832306, $501

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Stefano Travaglia in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Stefano Travaglia. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Michael Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia

12h ago

$5,704 on Michael Zheng at 86¢

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia

12h ago

$1,851 on Stefano Travaglia at 57¢

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia

13h ago

$1,300 on Stefano Travaglia at 60¢

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia

14h ago

$2,366 on Stefano Travaglia at 58¢

Related Theses