Part of: Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellien
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellien
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP qualifying match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Hugo Dellien, scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 29, 2026 if the match is completed within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $6,000 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent sharp alerts including high win-rate tennis bettors backing Dellien.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Hugo Dellien in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,948.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
94% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 94% documented win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $6k of Hugo Dellien despite the price later drifting below entry.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $270k lifetime.
- They have traded 108 events across 125 markets with the same 94% hit rate.
- The $6k Hugo Dellien buy was at 80¢, while the market is now lower at 68¢.
$6,000 on Hugo Dellien | Wallet win rate: 95%
92% winner backs Dellien
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Hugo Dellien at 66¢ in a liquid Roland Garros qualifier market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $26K lifetime.
- They have bet across 29 sports events with a strong historical hit rate.
- Entry at 66¢ came below the current 68¢ market price.
$1,985 on Hugo Dellien | Wallet win rate: 92%
82% winner buying favorite
Sharp-wallet override: an 82% winner with positive lifetime P&L bought Hugo Dellien despite only a modest pre-event volume-spike signal.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $30,236 lifetime.
- They bought Hugo Dellien at 63¢, slightly above the current 60¢ market price.
- The market saw a 202x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh attention before the match.
$1,253 on Hugo Dellien | Wallet win rate: 82%
82% winner buying qualifier
Profitable 82% winner is buying Hugo Dellien amid a major pre-match volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $30,236 lifetime.
- The market is seeing a 477x pre-event volume spike, with over $70k traded in the last 24 hours.
- They bought Hugo Dellien at 63¢, slightly above the current 60¢ market price.
$1,411 on Hugo Dellien | Wallet win rate: 82%
Perfect-record tennis sharp
Surface: a highly profitable 36-for-36 sports bettor bought $5,000 of Hugo Dellien amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 36 of 36 resolved bets and is up $289,587 lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market track record: 35 events, 52 markets, and 100% wins so far.
- A $5,000 buy on Hugo Dellien came during a 376x volume spike before the match.
$5,000 on Hugo Dellien | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record tennis sharp
Elite sharp wallet with a perfect 36/36 resolved record and large lifetime profit bought $5,000 of Hugo Dellien at 61¢.
- This bettor has won 36 of 36 resolved bets and is up $289,587 lifetime.
- They have traded 52 markets across 35 events with a perfect recorded win record.
- A $5,000 buy at 61¢ suggests strong conviction on Hugo Dellien advancing.
$5,000 on Hugo Dellien | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record tennis sharp
Strong Hugo Dellien buy signal led by a 36-0 profitable sports bettor, plus coordinated one-sided flow and a 560x pre-event volume spike.
- Lead wallet has won 36 of 36 resolved bets and is up $289,587 lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $15.5k, led by a $12.5k Dellien position at 61¢.
- This market saw a 560x pre-event volume spike, suggesting sharp money is moving before the match.
$15,533 on Hugo Dellien
92% winner exits favorite
A highly profitable 92% lifetime bettor sold Hugo Dellien, effectively backing Roberto Carballes Baena at 42¢ despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $103,781 lifetime.
- They sold Hugo Dellien after previously holding him, effectively backing Roberto Carballes Baena at 42¢.
- The trade was about half of the market’s recent daily volume, showing meaningful conviction in a quieter market.
$2,303 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 92%
Elite 89% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 89% long-run win rate and over $1M profit bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 39¢ in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.06M lifetime.
- They have a long sports track record across 65 events with the same 89% win rate.
- Entry at 39¢ backs Roberto Carballes Baena as a meaningful underdog opportunity.
$1,361 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable new tennis bettor
A 9-day-old wallet with early profits is making another sizable tennis bet on a thin market.
- This new wallet is already up $4.8K on about $12K invested.
- It has won 6 of 8 resolved bets so far, despite being only 9 days old.
- The $1.1K buy is nearly half of this market’s 24h volume.
$1,100 on Hugo Dellien | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x3555...ba40 — Hugo Dellien, $67,375 (89% win rate)
- 0xf2ce...5462 — Hugo Dellien, $23,890 (98% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Roberto Carballes Baena, $13,075 (72% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Roberto Carballes Baena, $12,299 (89% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Roberto Carballes Baena, $10,842 (56% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Roberto Carballes Baena, $10,151 (75% win rate)
- 0xba71...1fb0 — Hugo Dellien, $5,019 (44% win rate)
- 0x363c...4463 — Roberto Carballes Baena, $4,292 (43% win rate)
- 0x99f0...9495 — Roberto Carballes Baena, $4,029 (58% win rate)
- 0x1b8f...cca7 — Roberto Carballes Baena, $3,500 (0% win rate)
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