Part of: Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina

This Polymarket tennis market covers the Roland Garros WTA match between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 6, 2026 if the match is delayed. PolySpotter is tracking $3,155 in smart money across 1 signal, including alerts from an elite 89% win-rate bettor and a perfect-record underdog bettor.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,715.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Perfect-record underdog bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 11-0 resolved record and $261k profit is taking a contrarian underdog position on Kasatkina.

  • This bettor is 11-for-11 on resolved trades and up $261k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 33 events with $433k total volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Kasatkina at 9¢ against a 94% favorite, a high-upside contrarian position.

$3,155 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 100%

Elite 89% win-rate bettor

Elite sports wallet with an 89% win rate and nearly $197k profit is making a large Sabalenka bet that is almost 2x the market's 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $196,776 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 51 events, 56 markets, and $132,167 traded.
  • This $7,560 Sabalenka buy is nearly 2x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction.

$7,560 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x187a...a22b Outcome 78667734, $36,027 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x4900...4a72 Outcome 74953112, $24,885 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x99f0...9495 Outcome 78667734, $24,320 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 78667734, $8,041 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x52ec...5124 Outcome 78667734, $5,815
  6. 0xf70c...72c1 Outcome 78667734, $5,717
  7. 0x40f7...1f5e Outcome 78667734, $5,000 (43% win rate)
  8. 0x9fad...5a9f Outcome 78667734, $5,000 (37% win rate)
  9. 0xafac...8730 Outcome 78667734, $4,026 (60% win rate)
  10. 0x5213...6a35 Outcome 78667734, $3,726 (83% win rate)

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Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina

6dRoland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina$10,715 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Aryna Sabalenka
93¢
90¢
88¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina

6h ago

$3,155 on Daria Kasatkina at 9¢

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina

19h ago

$7,560 on Aryna Sabalenka at 90¢

Related Theses