Part of: Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,312.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
82% winner buying favorite
Sharp-wallet override: a proven profitable bettor with an 82% resolved win rate bought $3,000 of Daria Kasatkina despite a weak composite signal and recent adverse price movement.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $85,028 lifetime.
- They put $3,000 on Daria Kasatkina at 79¢ in a liquid tennis market.
- The market has since moved to 74¢, so the same side is available below their entry.
$3,000 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 83%
Huge pre-match volume surge
A huge pre-match volume surge hit this tennis market, though the individual wallet has limited resolved history.
- Market volume spiked 783x above its historical average before the match.
- This trade backs the favorite at 72¢ as the market leans heavily toward Kasatkina.
- The wallet has only 1 resolved bet, but it is up $107K on prior activity.
$1,600 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 88%
Large quiet-market favorite bet
A single wallet put $11.3k on Kasatkina in a relatively quiet tennis market, but the wallet’s track record is not especially strong.
- One bettor put $11.3k on Kasatkina at 70¢, far larger than the market’s recent quiet trading baseline.
- The bet is concentrated in two buys on the same side, suggesting conviction rather than casual activity.
- The wallet is only modestly proven: up $3.8k lifetime, but with a 43% record on resolved bets.
$11,269 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 45%
Quiet-market tennis whale
A single $8.4k Kasatkina buy is over 7x the market’s 24h volume, making it notable despite the wallet’s weak historical record.
- A bettor put $8.4k on Kasatkina, equal to 725% of this market’s 24h volume.
- The market is quiet but liquid, so one large buy at 70¢ stands out as concentrated conviction.
- The wallet’s past results are weak, so this is more of a size-and-market-flow signal than a proven sharp bettor.
$8,443 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 45%
Top Holders
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 12967688, $30,701 (74% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 12967688, $22,895 (91% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 12967688, $9,505 (63% win rate)
- 0x8c81...dcd3 — Outcome 12967688, $6,287 (78% win rate)
- 0x49c8...3c52 — Outcome 12967688, $4,800 (73% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 12967688, $3,662 (57% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 12967688, $3,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x4658...4131 — Outcome 12967688, $2,759 (85% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 12967688, $2,515 (95% win rate)
- 0x26e7...cc6c — Outcome 12967688, $1,946 (73% win rate)
Related Theses
Machac beats Bergs at Roland Garros
Covers 1 related market
Mensik beats Droguet
Covers 1 related market
Tagger beats Wang at Roland Garros
Covers 1 related market
Rajasthan Royals beat Mumbai Indians
Covers 1 related market
Baptiste upsets Krejcikova
Covers 1 related market
Etcheverry beats Borges
Covers 1 related market
McNally beats Tomljanovic
Covers 1 related market
Botic beats Cerundolo
Covers 1 related market
Bouzkova beats Bronzetti
Covers 1 related market
Federico Cina beats Opelka
Covers 1 related market
