Part of: Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros WTA match between Maria Sakkari and Claire Liu, scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 4, 2026 if the match is delayed. PolySpotter is tracking $7,500 in smart money across 1 signal, including a recent alert that 92% of winner backing was on the underdog side.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Claire Liu in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Claire Liu. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Maria Sakkari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,909.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
277-win sharp-led cluster
Strong tennis signal: three wallets bought Claire Liu into a major price move, led by a highly profitable bettor with a near-perfect resolved record.
- A bettor who has won 277 of 278 resolved bets and is up $198K joined this Claire Liu buy.
- Three wallets bought $7.1K of the same side, pushing Claire Liu from mid-market prices up to 88%.
- Volume spiked 37x before the match, with one wallet in the cluster up $1.6M lifetime.
$7,128 on Claire Liu
Profitable sharp on dip
A profitable 77% sports bettor bought Maria Sakkari, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry, making this more of a sharp-wallet watch than a clean momentum copy.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up about $8.0k lifetime.
- They bought Maria Sakkari at 76¢ before the market fell to 36¢, so the current price is far cheaper than their entry.
- Volume is running 44x above normal, suggesting the market is actively repricing before the match.
$1,147 on Maria Sakkari | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp tennis cluster
Three wallets are buying Maria Sakkari together, including a proven 89% winner and a highly profitable high-volume bettor, with the price already moving in their favor.
- One bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $21.5k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $8.2k of Maria Sakkari in the same direction.
- Their entries at 64–66¢ are already ahead of the 69¢ market price.
$8,221 on Maria Sakkari
Profitable serial sports bettor
Experienced cross-market sports bettor with a long positive track record bought $5,000 of Maria Sakkari at 66¢.
- This bettor has 592 resolved markets, wins 67% of them, and is up about $69.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable sports betting process.
- The $5K entry at 66¢ is a concentrated bet on Sakkari in a liquid match market.
$5,000 on Maria Sakkari | Wallet win rate: 67%
89% win-rate tennis bettor
Surfaced because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate buying Maria Sakkari at 64¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $21.5K lifetime.
- Their historical bets beat market odds by about 16 points, suggesting real edge despite the modest size.
- Entry at 64¢ implies they see Maria Sakkari as underpriced versus the current 66¢ market.
$1,914 on Maria Sakkari | Wallet win rate: 89%
92% winner backing underdog
Elite sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $665k profit is buying the Claire Liu underdog at 36¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved positions and is up $665k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 163 events with $1.7M deployed and the same 92% hit rate.
- Buying Claire Liu at 36¢ backs the underdog in a liquid tennis market, implying a potential ~2.8x payout.
$7,500 on Claire Liu | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Claire Liu, $20,554 (92% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Claire Liu, $17,409 (71% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Claire Liu, $15,587 (53% win rate)
- 0x5af4...a7df — Claire Liu, $14,046 (44% win rate)
- 0x4064...5f1e — Maria Sakkari, $11,691 (86% win rate)
- 0x8a26...937e — Maria Sakkari, $9,839 (67% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Maria Sakkari, $9,330 (63% win rate)
- 0xe733...8ed4 — Maria Sakkari, $8,625 (83% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Claire Liu, $8,359 (56% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Maria Sakkari, $6,994 (76% win rate)
Related Theses
Spurs crush the Thunder
Covers 4 related markets
Knicks win in a blowout
Covers 4 related markets
Knicks rout the Cavaliers
Covers 6 related markets
Spurs upset the Thunder
Covers 3 related markets
Liberty beat Mercury
Covers 1 related market
Golubic beats Parks
Covers 1 related market
Baptiste beats Xiyu Wang
Covers 1 related market
Comesana beats Quinn
Covers 1 related market
Dellien defeats Carballes Baena
Covers 1 related market
Nuno Borges beats Kecmanovic
Covers 1 related market
