Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini
This Polymarket covers the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters match between Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Berrettini, scheduled for April 8 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation or delays beyond 7 days resulting in special resolution rules. Traders are watching this tennis prediction market closely for live odds, smart money signals, and matchup sentiment ahead of the result.
This market refers on the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Berrettini in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Matteo Berrettini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,322.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor caught early move
A proven sharp sports trader with an 86% win rate bought Berrettini at 78¢ before a fast move to 94¢ during a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of their resolved trades across 104 bets and has tracked nearly $13.7k in profit.
- They bought Berrettini at 78¢, and the market quickly moved to 94¢ after a 17-point jump in under 5 minutes.
- This wallet has traded 79 related markets across 75 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
$1,987 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 86%
Proven bettor flips sides
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate flipped from Medvedev to a sizable Berrettini buy before a sharp move from 73% to 94%, making this a notable momentum-and-conviction trade.
- This bettor has won 695 of 943 resolved trades and is up about $109k lifetime.
- They bought $7.7k of Berrettini at 73¢, and the market quickly moved to 94¢ after the trade.
- They had previously closed a Medvedev position, so this looks like a fresh view rather than routine profit-taking.
$7,723 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 74%
4-wallet Berrettini pile-in
Four wallets piled into Berrettini, including two high-volume profitable serial cross-market traders, and their buys/sells captured a strong move from 64-71¢ to 82¢.
- Four wallets all took the Berrettini side for nearly $5.9k in a coordinated burst.
- Two of the wallets are proven event traders, including one with a 97% win rate over 280 resolved bets and another up $109k lifetime.
- They entered at 64-71¢ and the market is already at 82¢, showing the move followed their bets.
$5,872 on Matteo Berrettini
4-wallet Berrettini surge
Four wallets piled into Berrettini as pre-match volume exploded and price jumped, led by one high-performing bettor who bought as low as 31¢ before the market repriced to 66¢.
- Four wallets bought Berrettini in the same burst for $11.5k as market activity spiked 84x above normal.
- One bettor in the group wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $2.35M lifetime.
- The earliest buy came at 31¢ and Berrettini is now 66%, showing the cluster moved before a major repricing.
$11,529 on Matteo Berrettini
5-wallet Medvedev pile-in
A 5-wallet one-sided group bought Medvedev for $31.5k during a major volume spike, led here by a serial cross-market bettor putting $17.3k into a now cheaper price after a sharp move.
- Five wallets all bought Medvedev, totaling $31.5k, which is strong one-sided conviction on this match.
- Market activity surged 65.9x above normal as Medvedev dropped from this wallet's 50¢ entry to 39¢, showing aggressive positioning into volatility.
- This wallet is active across 40 events with 474 resolved bets, though its 66% win rate and slight lifetime loss make the coordinated flow more compelling than the individual track record.
$17,257 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 66%
76% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 76% win rate bought Daniil Medvedev at 70¢ and already has 4 points of favorable price movement.
- This bettor wins 76% of 606 resolved trades and is up nearly $80k lifetime
- They have traded 483 markets across 465 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge
- Bought Medvedev at 70¢ and the market is already at 74¢, showing early confirmation
$4,955 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Matteo Berrettini, $45,272 (80% win rate)
- 0x1624...bf63 — Daniil Medvedev, $29,708
- 0x6aee...fad4 — Daniil Medvedev, $21,144 (63% win rate)
- 0xc5dc...7cf2 — Matteo Berrettini, $17,554
- 0x507e...beae — Daniil Medvedev, $17,133 (50% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Daniil Medvedev, $15,711 (56% win rate)
- 0xb75c...b6d3 — Matteo Berrettini, $14,872
- 0xe30e...6b87 — Daniil Medvedev, $11,869 (83% win rate)
- 0x31c1...7047 — Daniil Medvedev, $11,056 (42% win rate)
- 0xf92a...99ac — Matteo Berrettini, $9,985 (32% win rate)
