Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilic
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marin Cilic, scheduled for April 8 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation or long delays triggering special resolution rules. Traders are also watching notable smart money activity, with $55,836 tracked across 5 signals.
This market refers on the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marin Cilic in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,783.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
4-wallet Cilic cluster
Four wallets, including two linked and one highly profitable cross-market trader, piled into the same Cilic side with $23.6k as price moved sharply, creating a notable coordinated sports bet despite the market later collapsing against them.
- Four wallets put $23.6k on the same side, and two of them share a funder
- One wallet is up $601.9k with a 61% win rate across 70 resolved bets, and another is up $1.19M lifetime
- They bought Cilic as high as 42¢, implying they saw much better than a 1% chance before the market snapped back
$23,576 on Marin Cilic
Profitable cross-market seller
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with $601.9k profit sold the heavy favorite into a sharp pre-match volume spike, which translates to a buy on Marin Cilic around 12¢.
- This bettor has traded 38 markets across 37 events and is up about $602k overall.
- They sold nearly $18k of the 88¢ favorite as market volume ran 274x above normal.
- That sale is equivalent to buying Marin Cilic around 12¢, a cheap underdog entry if this trader's read is right.
$17,981 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 61%
86% serial sports bettor
A very active sports bettor with an 86% hit rate bought the favorite during a sharp pre-match volume surge and fast price move, making this a credible momentum signal despite the high entry price.
- This wallet has won 86% of 393 resolved bets across 319 markets and has traded over $5.7M
- The market saw a 274x pre-match volume spike, and price moved 18.5 points in about 5 minutes
- They bought Felix at 90¢, a high-confidence favorite price that suggests they still saw value late
$2,692 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 86%
76% win-rate sports grinder
A very active sports trader with a 76% hit rate bought Felix at 90¢ during a sharp pre-match volume and price move, making this a momentum-style signal worth watching despite the rich price.
- This wallet has won 836 of 1,107 resolved bets across 195 events, showing a durable edge in event markets.
- The buy came during a 274x volume spike and an 18.5-point fast move, suggesting real money rushed into this match.
- They paid 90¢ on a liquid market, so this is a high-confidence favorite bet rather than a cheap longshot swing.
$2,831 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 76%
Serial sports trader bought the dip
A high-volume serial sports trader bought Felix at 56¢ during a sharp pre-match dip, and the market has already moved strongly in their favor to 74¢.
- This bettor has traded 37 related markets across 36 events and is up about $602k overall
- They bought $8.8k of Felix at 56¢ during a fast 18.5-point drop, and the price is now 74¢
- Market activity surged to 34x normal before the match, suggesting notable positioning into the event
$8,756 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 61%
23-0 sharp sports bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 23-for-23 record bought Marin Cilic at 49¢ before the market moved hard in its favor, making this a strong sports bet worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 23 of 23 resolved markets and is up $64.7k on $149k invested
- They bought Marin Cilic at 49¢, and the market has since repriced him to 28¢ implied odds on the opposite side
- This wallet also trades across 36 related markets with a perfect record, suggesting repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
$2,077 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 100%
Pro sports bettor, $2.3M profit
A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with a 74% win rate is making a fresh $2.9k buy here, making the alert worth surfacing despite only one signal.
- This bettor has won 949 of 1,281 resolved trades and is up $2.35M lifetime
- They have traded 341 markets across 278 events, showing a repeatable cross-market betting edge
- They bought Felix at 66¢, a clear directional bet from a proven sports trader
$2,870 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x3b5c...126e — Felix Auger-Aliassime, $75,232 (79% win rate)
- 0xd540...974d — Marin Cilic, $29,101
- 0xfe78...0319 — Marin Cilic, $28,296 (74% win rate)
- 0xe075...911f — Marin Cilic, $13,786
- 0x38c2...d3a7 — Felix Auger-Aliassime, $13,280 (54% win rate)
- 0x5aa9...febe — Felix Auger-Aliassime, $12,073
- 0xe4d3...c2f0 — Felix Auger-Aliassime, $10,342 (68% win rate)
- 0x647e...dd9b — Felix Auger-Aliassime, $10,198 (86% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Marin Cilic, $9,742 (52% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Felix Auger-Aliassime, $9,529 (49% win rate)
