Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesana
This market refers on the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Francisco Comesana in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 6 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Francisco Comesana. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,831.
Notable Trades
Profitable 3-wallet dog bet
A profitable, high-volume sports trader joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Francisco Comesana at 45¢ before a sharp move, suggesting a coordinated value bet worth tracking despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor has 312 resolved trades, a 63% win rate, and is up $143k overall
- Three wallets bought the same underdog side for $18.9k total, and this wallet got in at 45¢
- The market saw a 14.2x volume spike and Francisco moved quickly after the buying hit
$4,918 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 63%
Serial sports trader fading favorite
A high-volume serial sports trader sold the favorite into a sharp pre-match move, implying a buy on Comesana around 27¢ as volume spiked.
- This wallet has bet 110 events and wins 69% of resolved markets across 846 bets.
- The trade sold Cobolli at 73¢, which translates to buying Comesana around 27¢ before the market moved to 29¢.
- Volume ran 15.4x above normal and Cobolli dropped 11 points in minutes, showing real money pushing the underdog side.
$7,977 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 69%
83% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with an 83% win rate bought into this tennis market despite a fast 11-point pullback, making it a credible sharp-bettor signal even though the position size is modest.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $390k across more than 1,200 bets
- They have traded 1,181 markets across 945 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Flavio at 85¢ after a fast price drop, suggesting they viewed the pullback as value
$1,493 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 83%
86% win-rate match trader
A very active sports trader with an 86% hit rate bought into a fast price dip on a liquid tennis market, making this a modest but still followable sharp-bettor alert.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved markets across 382 bets and has traded 291 events
- They bought Flavio Cobolli after an 11-point price drop in about 4 minutes, suggesting dip-buying conviction
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp entry than a random thin-market punt
$1,733 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 86%
83% win-rate sports sharp
A highly proven sports trader with an 83% win rate and nearly $390k profit bought Flavio Cobolli at 60¢ before the market moved up to 68¢, making this a credible sharp entry worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $390k on $1.58M invested
- They trade heavily across 945 events and 1,181 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Flavio Cobolli at 60¢ and the market has already moved to 68¢, showing immediate follow-through
$1,087 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 83%
3-wallet sharp cluster
Three wallets piled into Comesana within minutes, including one perfect-track-record bettor, creating an 11-point price swing on a liquid tennis market.
- Three wallets bet Francisco Comesana in the same burst for $15.9k, pushing his price up 11 points in under 4 minutes.
- One bettor is 21 for 21 on resolved markets with $55k profit, and the group includes two other experienced profitable traders.
- They bought the underdog around 36-48¢, signaling conviction that the 40¢ market price still undervalues Comesana.
$15,907 on Francisco Comesana
83% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial trader with an exceptional 83% win rate and $390k profit bought into this tennis market, making the alert worth surfacing despite the modest stake size.
- This bettor wins 83% of 1,220 resolved trades and is up about $390k overall.
- They have traded 1,181 markets across 945 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Flavio Cobolli at 69¢, while the market now sits near 60¢, offering a better follow price than the original entry.
$1,981 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 83%
Perfect-record tennis bettor
A perfect-record sports trader with $55k profit bought Francisco Comesana at 48¢ before the market moved sharply lower to 36¢, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved markets and is up $55k on $128k staked
- They bought Francisco Comesana at 48¢, and the market has since moved to 36¢ in their favor
- This wallet has traded 28 markets across 27 events with the same spotless record
$1,476 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 100%
Pro trader bought the dip
A proven high-volume cross-market trader bought Flavio at 49¢ right after a sharp dip, and the market has already rebounded to 60¢.
- This bettor has 312 resolved bets, wins 63% of the time, and is up $143k overall
- They bought Flavio at 49¢ during a fast 11-point drop, and the price is already back to 60¢
- The bet came amid a 26.7x volume spike, showing strong attention on this match
$1,999 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 63%
5-wallet Cobolli surge
Five wallets piled into Cobolli within minutes, including one bettor with an 83% win rate over 1,220 resolved markets and a new wallet already up $9.7k, while the market jumped from 56% to 85%.
- Five wallets bought Cobolli in a tight burst, pushing the price from 56¢ to 85¢ in minutes.
- One of the buyers wins 83% of 1,220 resolved bets and is up about $390k lifetime.
- A 2-day-old wallet joined after 9 prior large alerts and is already up $9.7k, suggesting strong conviction rather than a random punt.
$7,370 on Flavio Cobolli
Top Holders
- 0x3b5c...126e — Flavio Cobolli, $89,422 (76% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Francisco Comesana, $63,366 (50% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Francisco Comesana, $61,409 (49% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Francisco Comesana, $26,626 (81% win rate)
- 0xcc8f...a7bb — Flavio Cobolli, $25,226 (76% win rate)
- 0xf402...df7c — Flavio Cobolli, $24,903 (94% win rate)
- 0x5aa9...febe — Francisco Comesana, $24,237
- 0x8718...5040 — Flavio Cobolli, $20,767 (70% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Francisco Comesana, $20,120 (52% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Flavio Cobolli, $15,000 (67% win rate)
