Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

This market refers on the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,263.

Notable Trades

83% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports trader with an 83% win rate bought Francisco Cerundolo before a major price jump, suggesting actionable edge despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up about $390k across 1,219 resolved bets.
They trade heavily across sports markets — 941 events and 1,177 markets — and bought Cerundolo at 87¢ before the price jumped to 96¢.
Market volume surged 15x and Cerundolo moved up 29 points, backing the idea that sharp money piled in fast.

$1,096 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 83%

76% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 76% win rate bought Francisco Cerundolo at 72¢ before a sharp move to 96% in an active tennis market.

This bettor wins 76% of 600 resolved markets and has put over $2.2M across 478 markets
They bought Francisco Cerundolo at 72¢, and the market has since jumped to 96%
The market saw a 15.2x volume spike and a 29-point price move, backing the timing of this entry

$4,306 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable new wallet buys dip

A 2-day-old wallet with nearly $19k in recent flagged bets and strong early profits just bought a sizable underdog position after a sharp market move, suggesting repeat high-conviction risk taking worth watching despite the limited win-rate history.

This 2-day-old wallet has already made about $18.6k in flagged bets and is up $9.7k early
They bought Stefanos at 26¢ after a 21-point drop, a clear contrarian underdog entry
The bet is meaningful but not market-moving in a liquid match market, so the main signal is the wallet's rapid profitable activity

$1,467 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 25%

83% win-rate sports sharp

A high-volume sharp sports bettor with an 83% win rate and $390k profit bought into a fast-rising side of this tennis market, making it a credible follow signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $390k across more than 1,200 bets
They trade heavily across sports markets — 941 events and $1.24M tracked volume suggest a real repeatable edge
They bought Francisco Cerundolo at 78¢ as the price was surging, and the market is now around 80¢

$1,192 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 83%

83% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven sports-style bettor with an 83% win rate and $390k profit bought Francisco Cerundolo at 49¢ as the market moved sharply, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $390k across 1,219 bets
They trade heavily across many events — 1,177 markets and $1.24M in volume — which suggests a repeatable edge
Bought Cerundolo at 49¢ while his price jumped 13 points in under 5 minutes

$985 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp cluster backing Cerundolo

Three wallets piled into Cerundolo in the same window, including a serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate and $390k profit, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the modest dollar size in a liquid market.

A bettor who wins 83% of their trades and is up $390k joined this move into Cerundolo.
Three wallets all bet Cerundolo in a short span, totaling $5.3k at 48-49¢.
The entry near 49¢ suggests they saw Cerundolo as better than a coin flip before the price moved to 52¢.

$5,333 on Francisco Cerundolo

94% win-rate tennis sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Tsitsipas at 43¢ before the market moved to 52%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the otherwise liquid market.

This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $71.8k across 307 resolved bets
They bought Tsitsipas at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 52¢ after their entry
This wallet has traded 298 markets across 296 events with the same strong hit rate

$4,224 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 94%

77% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate bought Tsitsipas at 29¢, a meaningful contrarian entry against a market that has recently moved sharply the other way.

This bettor wins 77% of 936 resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
They regularly trade across related markets at scale, with $1.64M tracked across 195 events.
Bought Tsitsipas at 29¢ while the other side is trading near 70%, a cheap underdog entry after an 18-point one-day move.

$1,878 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 76%

21-0 serial sports bettor

A serial cross-market sports bettor with a perfect 21-for-21 resolved record and strong edge bought Francisco Cerundolo at 57¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved markets and is up $55k on $128k invested
They have bet across 25 events and 26 markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off hit
Bought Francisco Cerundolo at 57¢, implying they see the current price as still too low

$2,323 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 100%

92% win-rate sharp

A highly proven Polymarket bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.63M profit is taking Stefanos Tsitsipas at 45¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $1.63M across 1,113 resolved positions
They regularly trade across many related markets and still keep that elite record over 419 events
Bought Stefanos Tsitsipas at 45¢, a price that implies roughly 2.2x payout if he wins

$1,019 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 92%